if i try to see the future, i often visit the past. Bitcoin is now better in the fundamentals, but the big boys wanted the best price for there market entry!
If we take the same percentage in a log chart, you see that we could go down to more or less 3.000 USD, but after that point we go up 3 years and make a 100x of our investment! That´s incomparable with any other investment possibility in the world!
Sure, some alts will follow... but this analysis is about Bitcoin because, its the grand father :)
I have draw a green alternative line, where i would say it´s also likely, i tell you why:
In the past, there was really much less people, companies and business models for the world of crypto out there. Now crypto is a "big thing" compared to 2013/2014.
So its possible that we get the bullrun faster, and the actually drop lower then in the past. 100.000 USD is also a massive physiological mark, a good time to sell a little of your stack!
In my opinion the best way would be to put money in steps in the market and then just HODL.
Tell me what you think about this scenario. Iám really excited to see this chart again in 2019, 2020 and 2022 :)
Some weeks ago and recently in another trading idea i read about a view on the picture as a whole which supports an upwards development for the long-term. Unfortunately i didn't bookmarked or subscribed to it. The chart shows an overlay of BTC price chart and coins left to be mined. When i'll find it again, i will share the link. If someone knows what idea i'm talking about, lease feel free to share the link here or in private. Thanks!