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Interest Rate Spikes Precede Corrections

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Trend Analysis Elliott Wave Fundamental Analysis US10Y BOND interestrates correction crash SPX (S&P 500 Index) SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) debt yield
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trendanalysis elliottwaves fundamental us10y bond interestrates correction crash spx spy debt yield
Notice the downward trend in the US10Y since the 80's, while government, corporate and consumer debt has exploded to all time highs. The achilles heel of massive debt levels are high interest rates, which end up causing slowed growth and economic contraction. With ever higher levels of debt, the level of interest required to put the economy in pain falls over time - thus why we see crashes and corrections even as the US10Y spikes to levels far below the historical average (~6.18%).

Last year we popped above the "danger zone" trend line and we saw what happened. Watch out for interest rate spikes, it can save your ass.

Commentaire:
This was meant to be a much longer-term chart, looks like the scaling got messed up on upload.
Commentaire:
Link to full-scale chart below.

i.imgur.com/prmeIWb.png
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