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ProfitHarvest
5 févr. 2021 00:34

[UVXY] Well That Was a Fun Ride... Where to NEXT? Long

ProShares Trust Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETFArca

Description

Another spike prediction in the bag and we learned FWs are helpful structures for predicting UVXY and that steepness seems to be an important signal.

OG Idea:


We should still see another HH soon but may take a few weeks to hit... let's see!

Commentaire

Two false breakouts today...

Commentaire

Lots of dip buyers under 10, psychological level?

SPX keeps going up but my UVXY stays the same!

AKA Volatility Charging

Commentaire

New FW on the 15M, more steep than the large wedge ending around $10 before last breakout but less steep than all the FWs on the spike up.

Got a slight breakout here but maybe still need a better or bigger FW before a more serious breakout...

Commentaire

Yep...

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Another smaller one, similar steepness...

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Commentaire

Very interesting, another FW...


Feels like we're chiseling into UVXY bedrock rock now haha.

Commentaire

What a swing dip today!

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Another chisel...

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Nice little gap up, it's following the exact same pattern the last FW just a little more squished together....

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Look at that FW breakout!

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Nice small spike there and crazy rapid decay, damn! Still chiseling into this foundation...
Commentaires
Dr_Roboto
The VXX is really oversold right now, maybe the most in months. So much so the cRSI is pegged to the floor. Everyone got excited last week and the SPX/NDX rally this week has them all selling hard. I am going with a some level of pop next week. Don't know how big, but I am getting the itch to buy.
ProfitHarvest
@Dr_Roboto, Wow, so extreme! Thanks for the indicator btw...
Dr_Roboto
@ProfitHarvest, hope it helps. I need to revisit a few things to make it work better. What I have noticed is that it will trigger a sell on the primary motive wave but often times a 2nd wave of buying can push the price higher but the RSI is falling and does not trigger a sell. Just remember that the buy/sell number is more a weight on the strength of the indicator (0-10, with 15 in extreme situations).
ProfitHarvest
@Dr_Roboto, ah got it, good for any TF?
WizdomSeekerr
More down for VIX it seems....
ProfitHarvest
@WizdomSeekerr, Yep, better entry for the next one ;)
Dr_Roboto
Bought some this morning right at open. First little gap up in a while seemed like a good bet. Was holding well, went to lunch and dropped almost to $9.80. I really thought $10 would hold after the hard sell after hours with a gap up this morning. Have to wait and see I guess. The hope that the end of January would start something bigger seems to have just given the bulls a buy the dip rally to keep things going.
ProfitHarvest
@Dr_Roboto, Don't lose sight of the bigger picture, we're at the top of the Core Decay Fractal Channel and wedging hard in an uncertain market...
ProfitHarvest
@ProfitHarvest, Oh damn... last one was just the gap fill, didn't notice that before!
Yuriy_Bishko
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