Or / Dollar Américain
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JULY 5TH 2600-2680 PART 14, ENTRY DAY?

1287
Pattern and trend aiming for the low today right now.
1) gray route is base case from previous post PART 12
2) blue route is what trend engine says happens here in this setup
3) which is a drop to 2290 today and then 3 bounces takes price to 2265
4) I favor blue route because it solves out trend wave problems
5) skipped PART 13 bc today could be entry day
6) and I am not effing with that number
Note
6:29 AM ET, THIS PATTERN GIVES YOU 8-12 HOURS AT THE LOW
a) of course 2 occasions at low
b) first strike and retest
c) should be within 8-12 hours of each other
d) closer to 8
Note
6:37 AM, 2308.xx looks like a drop to 2290-92 is coming up
a) I think
b) not 100%
Note
6:51 AM the vol compression is sitting at 2282...
a) so if price wants to take that route
b) and not damage the wave setup
c) price needs to get down there really quick AND STAY THERE LONGER
d) to make up for it
Note
6:54, hanging around 2308 too long...
a) need to drop hard to 2290s to keep pace
b) especially if 2282 is supposed to hold
c) IF 2282 HOLDS, THEN WE NEED TO BE DOWN THERE IN 90 MIN
d) 150 minutes would be way too long
Note
7:08 AM, we have a shot at 2265 in 7 hours so ... by 2 PM ET
Note
7:18, and maybe not anymore but by 5:00 PM NY aftermarket close
Note
7:37 AM It's going to be 2265 today during NY and once again before London.
a) be aware
b) I see this as best possible entry for 7/5 high
c) which is 2605-2685, I don't know which
Note
7:57 AM ET almost 2314
a) decent 8 pt bounce
b) is this switch to gray route?
c) no, I don't think so
d) a slower blue route is very possible
e) we are already short on time
f) it's not like we have a week or something
g) we need to bottom today
h) bulls MAYBE pushing low into Tokyo session
Note
8:33 AM 2318 SPIKE REACTION TO RETAIL SALES:
1) this is getting close to killing all routes to 2265
2) so at 2315.xx as I type, if this thing doesn't rug pull soon...
3) this route dies, and the only route correcting forward is the gray route with 2282 floor
4) which is a problem for the wave we need to reset
5) because we are down to 16 hours to reset it
6) and it's not resetting...
7) so no idea where we go from here
Note
8:40 AM 2321.XX and this route is dead
1) gray route maybe dead as well
2) and we have nothing to go on for this setup
Note
8:53 AM this line needs to get taken out:
snapshot
Note
1) it has a rug pull setup to take it out
2) but needs to happen quick and fast and massive
3) or it's over
Note
9:04 AM 2315.XX rugpull not fast enough
a) so this route 100% dead
b) gray route still possible
c) but I also confirm just now that it odds of it working are very slim
d) "can't even entertain it"
Note
9:18 I am stuck with no suggestion
a) two ways to reset this wave
b) up, down
c) all rejected
d and now seems like a new floor and ceiling that are both compressing
e) which means I don 't have a clue
f) if price wants to show me something that resets it...
g) other wise... it's a no-go
Note
9:22 AM, we are out of time for any I can think of with one exception...
a) that wave is about to crossover its 2x wave
b) so MAYBE a sideways reset would work
c) but WE HAVE TO HAVE 2295 TODAY AT A MINIMUM...
d) OR IT DOESN'T RESET
e) and we need it in like 7 hours
f) to entertain this idea
Note
9:28, 2317.XX, I give up.
a) here's what reset means"
b) so you take trends all time and split all the way down
c) when you have a rally about to go
d) all the waves do not have to be in order with each othe
e) BUT WITHIN THEMSELVES, they have to have order
f) that order is short trends leading long trends
g) that's a definition of a rally
Note
h) if you don't have that....
i) ALL YOU GET IS CONTINUED ZIGZAG
Note
6/18, 12:45 PM ET,
j) AND THAT IS WHAT YOU WILL GET FOR 2. 5 MORE DAYS
k) my entry is 6/20
l) this thing sets itself
m) but sets at the very very last possible second
n) which is morning of 6/21
Note
PART 15 FINAL AND ENTRY DRAFT:
JULY 5TH 2660 PART 15, FINAL AND ENTRY DRAFT

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