The Pi Cycle indicator has called tops in Bitcoin quite accurately. Assuming history repeats itself, knowledge about when it might happen again could benefit you.
The indicator is fairly simple: - A daily moving average of 350 ("long_ma" in script) - A daily moving average of 111 ("short_ma" in script)
The value of the long moving average is multiplied by two. This way the longer moving average appears above the shorter one.
When the shorter one (orange colored) crosses above the longer (green colored) one, it could mean the top is in.
These moving averages rise at a certain rate. Using these rates we could try to estimate a possible crossover moment. That's exactly what this indicator does! It gives the user a prediction of when a crossover might happen.
Special thanks to: - Ninorigo, for making his indicator public. This one uses his as a starting point. - The_Caretaker, for coming up with this idea about calling a top. Yet, his is more price-based, this one is more time-based.
Notes de version
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Inputs have been updated to incorporate Pine v4 March 2021 updates. Inputs now feature tooltips for additional information and are sorted by groups.
An unused input had been removed.
Previous version of the indicator only looked at the increase of the moving averages during the last day and extrapolated the increase. This extrapolation gave the predicted cross date. This newer version still features that approach, but also added the possibility to smooth out the increase. This way the extrapolation is not solely based on the moving average increase during the last day, but used the increase of the past three (default, but users can change this) days.
The extrapolation is shown using two lines.
Feature to show how many days are left until the cross.
Notes de version
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Updated the TradingView script image shown at the top.
This script doesn't seem to work anymore... Could you fix this? TY!
janwillem0492
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You're a legend bro no cap
CryptoDouche
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The indicator is not taking the pandemic into account. We had a huge reset in March, while all other indicators that historically predict Bitcoin tops are not even close. if we have a top in April, then I believe we are looking at a 2013 type of market with a mini bear and two bull runs.
what is difference between Top and Date?
Thank you
Bluntpiloot
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@Alecto, Top is the actual happening. Date is the predicted date.
Mister_Sparkle
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Is this still a valid indicator? Has it been abandoned by the author? I am concerned as to whether in this current market (as of December 2023) it is still valid.
warrenbuffett123
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how many days do you use for the average slope?
ilesanmipepsi
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This script is predicting top in November of 2023 on the weekly chart, I thought the market cycle is usually every 4 years?