J2S Backtest: 123-Stormer Strategy
This backtest presents the 123-Stormer strategy created by trader Alexandre Wolwacz "Stormer". The strategy is advocates and shared by the trader through his YouTube channel without restrictions.
Note:
This is not an investment recommendation. The purpose of this study is only to share knowledge with the community on tradingview.
What is the purpose of the strategy?
The strategy is to buy the 123-Stormer pattern at the bottom of an uptrend and sell the 123-Stormer pattern at the top of a downtrend, aiming for a short stop for a long profit target.
To which timeframe of a chart is it applicable to?
Recommended for weekly and daily charts, as the signals are more reliable, being that strategy a good option for swing and position trading.
What about risk management and success rate?
The profit target is established by the author as being twice the risk assumed. Also according to the author, the strategy is mathematically positive, reaching around 65% of success rate in tradings.
How are the trends identified in this strategy?
Two averages are plotted to indicate the trend, a fast EMA average with an 8-week close and a slow EMA average with an 80-week close.
Uptrend happens whenever the fast EMA is above the slow EMA and prices are above the fast EMA. In this case, we should start looking for a LONG entry based on the signal of the 123-Stromer pattern to buying.
On the other hand, downtrend happens when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA and prices are below the fast EMA. In this case, we should start looking for a SHORT entry based on the signal of the 123-Stromer pattern to selling.
How to identify the 123-Stormer pattern for a LONG entry?
This pattern consists of three candles. The first candle has a higher low than the second candle's low, and the third candle has a higher low than the second candle's low. In this pattern, we will buy as soon as a trade occurs above the third candle's high, placing a stop as soon as a trade occurs below the second candle's low, with profit target twice the risk assumed. In another words, the amplitude of the prices of the three candles from the third candle’s high upwards. (you can use fibonacci extension to determine your stops and profit targets).
Importantly, the low of the three candles must be above the fast EMA average and in an uptrend.
How to identify the 123-Stormer pattern for a SHORT entry?
This pattern consists of three candles. The first candle has a lower high than the second candle's high, and the third candle has a lower high than the second candle's high. In this pattern, we will sell as soon as a trade occurs below the third candle's low, placing a stop as soon as a trade occurs above the second candle's high, with profit target twice the risk assumed. In other words, the amplitude of prices of the three candles from the third candle’s low down (you can use fibonacci extension to determine your stops and profit targets).
Importantly, the high of the three candles must be below the fast average and in a downtrend.
Tips and tricks
According to the author, the best signal for both LONG or SHORT entry is when the third candle is a inside bar of second candle.
Backtest features
Backtest parameters are fully customizable. The user chooses to validate only LONG or SHORT entries, or both. It is also possible to determine the specific time period for running the backtests, as well as setting a threshold in candels for entry by the 123-Stormer pattern.
Furthermore, for validation purposes, you can choose to activate the best signal of the pattern recommended by the author of the strategy, as well as change the values of the EMA averages or even deactivate them.
Final message
Feel free to provide me with any improvement suggestions for the backtest script. Bear in mind, feel free to use the ideas in my script in your studies.
Note:
This is not an investment recommendation. The purpose of this study is only to share knowledge with the community on tradingview.
What is the purpose of the strategy?
The strategy is to buy the 123-Stormer pattern at the bottom of an uptrend and sell the 123-Stormer pattern at the top of a downtrend, aiming for a short stop for a long profit target.
To which timeframe of a chart is it applicable to?
Recommended for weekly and daily charts, as the signals are more reliable, being that strategy a good option for swing and position trading.
What about risk management and success rate?
The profit target is established by the author as being twice the risk assumed. Also according to the author, the strategy is mathematically positive, reaching around 65% of success rate in tradings.
How are the trends identified in this strategy?
Two averages are plotted to indicate the trend, a fast EMA average with an 8-week close and a slow EMA average with an 80-week close.
Uptrend happens whenever the fast EMA is above the slow EMA and prices are above the fast EMA. In this case, we should start looking for a LONG entry based on the signal of the 123-Stromer pattern to buying.
On the other hand, downtrend happens when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA and prices are below the fast EMA. In this case, we should start looking for a SHORT entry based on the signal of the 123-Stromer pattern to selling.
How to identify the 123-Stormer pattern for a LONG entry?
This pattern consists of three candles. The first candle has a higher low than the second candle's low, and the third candle has a higher low than the second candle's low. In this pattern, we will buy as soon as a trade occurs above the third candle's high, placing a stop as soon as a trade occurs below the second candle's low, with profit target twice the risk assumed. In another words, the amplitude of the prices of the three candles from the third candle’s high upwards. (you can use fibonacci extension to determine your stops and profit targets).
Importantly, the low of the three candles must be above the fast EMA average and in an uptrend.
How to identify the 123-Stormer pattern for a SHORT entry?
This pattern consists of three candles. The first candle has a lower high than the second candle's high, and the third candle has a lower high than the second candle's high. In this pattern, we will sell as soon as a trade occurs below the third candle's low, placing a stop as soon as a trade occurs above the second candle's high, with profit target twice the risk assumed. In other words, the amplitude of prices of the three candles from the third candle’s low down (you can use fibonacci extension to determine your stops and profit targets).
Importantly, the high of the three candles must be below the fast average and in a downtrend.
Tips and tricks
According to the author, the best signal for both LONG or SHORT entry is when the third candle is a inside bar of second candle.
Backtest features
Backtest parameters are fully customizable. The user chooses to validate only LONG or SHORT entries, or both. It is also possible to determine the specific time period for running the backtests, as well as setting a threshold in candels for entry by the 123-Stormer pattern.
Furthermore, for validation purposes, you can choose to activate the best signal of the pattern recommended by the author of the strategy, as well as change the values of the EMA averages or even deactivate them.
Final message
Feel free to provide me with any improvement suggestions for the backtest script. Bear in mind, feel free to use the ideas in my script in your studies.
Notes de version:
Technical Updates:
#1: Use of syminfo.mintick variable for stop-loss
#2: Optimization of order cancellation control using the array.remove function
#3: Adjusting the display of buy and sell signals on the chart using the location.abovebar and location.belowbar properties
#1: Use of syminfo.mintick variable for stop-loss
#2: Optimization of order cancellation control using the array.remove function
#3: Adjusting the display of buy and sell signals on the chart using the location.abovebar and location.belowbar properties
Notes de version:
In version 3.0, new parameters were added as detailed below.
#1: barLimitForEntryInput replaced thresholdForEntryInput. The new parameter is more semantic than the old one, and therefore better conveys the purpose of its use.
#2: barLimitForCloseInput is intended to indicate the maximum number of bars in trade for closing an open position
#3: profitOverRiskInput sets the profit target based on the risk taken on the trade.
With the use of these new parameters, observe the following results compared to version 2.0.
Run your tests and let me know your results. With the new update the backtest is more flexible, allowing you to experiment with different configurations.
#1: barLimitForEntryInput replaced thresholdForEntryInput. The new parameter is more semantic than the old one, and therefore better conveys the purpose of its use.
#2: barLimitForCloseInput is intended to indicate the maximum number of bars in trade for closing an open position
#3: profitOverRiskInput sets the profit target based on the risk taken on the trade.
With the use of these new parameters, observe the following results compared to version 2.0.
- Percent Profitable rising from 72% to 76.19%
- Max Drawdown falling from 35.71 USDT to 14.41 USDT
- Profit Factor rising from 5.717 to 9.319
Run your tests and let me know your results. With the new update the backtest is more flexible, allowing you to experiment with different configurations.