BTC - Next year 6 months LONG!

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Hello Tredars, the next few weeks I expect movement between Tenkan and Kijun on a weekly basis. If not before, then at the latest in December (or January), SMA 50 could be reached and act as a support, which, if confirmed, would lead to higher prices within 6 months.
TP is at 16912 & 17169.
Note
Note that Monthly chart still shows the red cloud - here we see the boundary at 10028 and on a daily basis we also see 2 factors that have a bearish accent:
1. the cloud is red
2. as long as Tenkan stays below the SMA 50 it remains bearish

snapshot
snapshot
Note
As an alternative, here is the chart from the 23rd of June
BTC caught in the "December MATRIX"?!?
Note
9617.8 reached!
snapshot
Note
More weak until the first week of October.
snapshot
Note
BITSTAMP
weekly = green cloud... therefor this scenario could be possible too.
See my chart BITSTAMP, down, in the comment section.
snapshot
Trend Analysis

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