Bitcoin: pain is your gain
One more week which was close to heart-attack for BTC traders. It was very challenging to keep the common sense, and understand such a strong sell-off of the BTC. However, books are saying that the markets are always right - so probably they were right also this time. The BTC price entered into strong correction after the FOMC meeting. It was not pleasant news that the inflation is going to persist in 2025 and that the Fed will cut “only” 50 bps, but how much it can actually impact BTC liquidity? The only explanation for developments during the week, was market overreaction, same as with equity markets.
In one week, BTC reached its new ATH at 108K and a tumble toward the 92K. It was indeed a challenging week, even for BTC, which usually has a higher volatility. But it also shows fragility of market sentiment. However, on the opposite side, a strong overbought market was holding from November this year, indicating that the potential reversal might come anytime. The RSI is currently moving around the level of 50, and is not ready to take a path toward the oversold market side. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA 200, without an indication that the indicator could change the course soon.
Although the BTC market is the 24/7 one, still, it could be expected that the Holiday season during the week ahead might affect some calm down of the BTC price. BTC is ending the week with a target of 100K for one more time, which might occur only if the resistance line at the $ 98K is breached. On the opposite side, corrections are also possible, especially now that the RSI reached the level of 50, however, the extension of it will depend on some higher players on the market. Namely, as interest rates are not going to be cut as initially expected, borrowed money will not be so much at disposal to investors, in which sense, they will use the week ahead to wage how much more cash flow can end up in BTC in the year ahead.
In one week, BTC reached its new ATH at 108K and a tumble toward the 92K. It was indeed a challenging week, even for BTC, which usually has a higher volatility. But it also shows fragility of market sentiment. However, on the opposite side, a strong overbought market was holding from November this year, indicating that the potential reversal might come anytime. The RSI is currently moving around the level of 50, and is not ready to take a path toward the oversold market side. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA 200, without an indication that the indicator could change the course soon.
Although the BTC market is the 24/7 one, still, it could be expected that the Holiday season during the week ahead might affect some calm down of the BTC price. BTC is ending the week with a target of 100K for one more time, which might occur only if the resistance line at the $ 98K is breached. On the opposite side, corrections are also possible, especially now that the RSI reached the level of 50, however, the extension of it will depend on some higher players on the market. Namely, as interest rates are not going to be cut as initially expected, borrowed money will not be so much at disposal to investors, in which sense, they will use the week ahead to wage how much more cash flow can end up in BTC in the year ahead.
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