Bitcoin

BTC can still WIN After DeepSeek Dump

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Tings are looking rough for BTC and ETH in the daily.

Let's talk about ETH first.
The previous time I posted on ETH, we took a look at a bullish pattern forming - the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern.



VS the VERY different picture we see today after the weekly closed underneath support:

snapshot

Apart from chart patterns and bullish indicators - I was also confident that the price of ETH would increase, as we haven't seen a new ETH all time high, compared to the drastic ATH Bitcoin made. This, would be unusual. So the question remains - why did the pattern fail so miserably?

There is no reason specifically as to WHY chart patterns fail - especially if they seem so strong. Some may argue its whale play, others may say it's a news event etc... But either way, the only real way to safeguard a trade from a failing pattern is to wait for confirmation. And the worst ting is - even then, it may still fail. However, this is by far a safer play than just relying on a pattern that's busy forming. Here's a short idea of what a confirmation would look like on some bullish patterns (blue):
snapshot

Now, to talk about BTC in the Logarithmic view.
I mapped out the date-ranges, as well as how far the price fell logarithmically after each top. You'll see the word "clicks" on the chart. This simply indicates the amount of diagonal trendlines it has fallen. By using this pattern-dedicated approach, a commonality is found which may be useful in speculating a future price. Because if not for past history, how else would we speculate on the future?

It's interesting to note that the past 3 ATH's (all time high's) are each lower than the previous if you compare it not to price but to the "click lines". Even the fourth high (the one coming next) will be on a lower click-line than the previous, and that estimate is already over 300k. This is a really helpful way to speculate a future high because usually on a regular-view chart, the zone above the ATH is uncharted territory. You could use a Fibonacci trend-based extension, but this is limited to the cycle that you're using for input points. Logarithmic chart + indicators factor in the entire history of the price.

So could it be that this is just another dip in the road towards a new ETH ATH - and potentially even another BTC increase?

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