**Previous Analysis Summary:** Last week's analysis indicated a potential swing setup for BTC/USD. Key Fibonacci retracement levels were identified, along with significant support and resistance zones.
**Key Observations:** 1. **Fibonacci Levels:** The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the recent high to the recent low: - 0.382 (38.2%) at approximately $60,557.02 - 0.5 (50%) at approximately $62,736.97 - 0.618 (61.8%) at approximately $64,116.92 - 0.786 (78.6%) at approximately $68,020.57
2. **Current Price Action:** - **Bid Price:** $60,031.92 - **Ask Price:** $60,031.93 - BTC is currently trading near the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which suggests potential resistance.
3. **Support and Resistance:** - **Support Zone:** Around $53,500, where the previous low is marked. - **Resistance Zone:** Around $62,737 (50% Fibonacci retracement).
4. **Trendlines:** - A descending trendline is evident, suggesting a bearish trend in the recent past. - A breakout above this trendline could indicate a potential reversal.
**Trade Confirmation:** - BTC has shown some bullish momentum, attempting to break above the 0.382 Fibonacci level. - The price is currently consolidating near this level, suggesting indecision in the market.
**Action Plan:** - **Bullish Scenario:** If BTC breaks and closes above the 0.382 Fibonacci level ($60,557.02) and the descending trendline, it could signal a potential move towards the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($62,736.97) and possibly higher towards the 0.618 level ($64,116.92). - **Bearish Scenario:** If BTC fails to hold above the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the descending trendline, it could retest the support zone around $53,500.
**Conclusion:** - The current price action aligns with the previous week's swing analysis, confirming the importance of the identified Fibonacci levels and trendlines. - Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above the 0.382 level and the descending trendline for bullish confirmation or a rejection at this level for potential bearish moves.
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Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.