I am actually trading part of this. Though the odds of each pattern playing out goes down significantly after the first. Assuming the odds of the bear flag are 67.72%, rounded top 88%, and triangle 39.5% (according to about 30 seconds of 'research' on google), the odds of all 3 occurring is 23.54% (0.6772 * 0.88 * 0.395) and obviously the odds of a negative $2,000 BTC is 0%.