Bitcoin Bounce Setup at $69K Support

1 nov. 2024

Decision : Open Long

Chart Analysis :

The daily chart shows that Bitcoin rejected off resistance near the $73,000 level and has pulled back to test key support around $69,000, which is aligned with the ascending trendline from recent lows. The 4-hour chart reveals that the RSI(4H) is going to oversold territory at 38.90, indicating potential for a bounce. Price is finding support at the lower boundary of the ascending wedge pattern. Given the current technical structure, this pullback could provide a buying opportunity within the overall bullish trend.

News Impact :

No significant bearish news surrounding Bitcoin itself has been reported. General crypto-related news remains neutral to positive, with recent partnerships and developments sustaining long-term bullish sentiment. A recent Bitcoin hosting deal by Bitfarms with Stronghold also supports positive infrastructure developments but has not significantly impacted immediate price action.

Market Sentiment:

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at 75, indicating 'Greed,' though not 'Extreme Greed,' suggesting elevated bullish sentiment. TradingView user sentiment is mixed, though multiple analysis ideas suggest a potential bounce from the $69,000 area, which is also identified as key support by several analysts in their ideas, further supporting the case for a potential rebound in the short term.

Conclusion:

Given that support around the $69,000 mark holds, and the oversold RSI(4H) provides a potential bounce point in line with the macro bullish trend, initiating a long position here is reasonable. If price breaks below the current ascending trendline, further downside to $66,600 is possible, but with the current support holding, a fresh long position with a stop below $68,500 allows for a calculated entry.

Confidence Score: 0.77

Note: This analysis was written by ChatGPT.

3 nov. 2024

Trade fermée: ordre d’arrêt atteint

With weakening technical momentum on both the daily and 4-hour charts, combined with an absence of strong bullish catalysts in the news or sentiment, closing the long position is a cautious approach. The bearish signals in both the RSI and MACD on short-term charts, coupled with the lack of significant bullish news, mean downside risks are starting to outweigh potential gains. A deeper correction to the $66,000 level may be plausible, and in order to protect capital, exiting the position now is favored.