Investment Idea

25 mars 2023

🔹Open long positions at the current level and from the support level, using optimal capital allocation to maximize profit and minimize risk.
🔸Capital Allocation:

Entry at the current price (27,500): 45.5% of capital, ≈ $455
Entry from the support level (27,169.45): 54.5% of capital, ≈ $545
🔹Stop-loss and take-profit:
Entry at the current price:
Stop-loss: 27,084.25 (1.5% from the current price)
Entry from the support level:
Stop-loss: 26,753.61 (1.5% from the support level)
🔸Trading Plan:
Open a long position at the current level (27,500) and upon a bounce from the support level (27,169.45) considering optimal capital allocation.
Set a stop-loss at 27,084.25 for entry at the current price and at 26,753.61 for entry from the support level.
Set a take-profit at the upper boundary of the channel (29,156.67) for both entries.

This is provided for informational purposes only and is not an individual investment recommendation.

25 mars 2023

Transaction en cours

To optimally allocate capital between two entry points and reduce risk, you can use the capital allocation tactic based on profit factors. You need to determine the weight of each entry point based on its profit factor.

Profit factors for the two entry points (from previous calculations):

Entry at the current price (27500): 3.98
Entry at the support level (27169.45): 4.77
Sum of profit factors: 3.98 + 4.77 = 8.75

Now, let's calculate the weight of each entry point:

Entry at the current price: 3.98 / 8.75 ≈ 0.455
Entry at the support level: 4.77 / 8.75 ≈ 0.545
Now we can allocate 1000 dollars to the two entry points considering their weights:

Entry at the current price: 1000 * 0.455 ≈ 455 dollars
Entry at the support level: 1000 * 0.545 ≈ 545 dollars
Thus, to achieve maximum profit and minimize risk, you can invest approximately 455 dollars at the current price (27500) and approximately 545 dollars at the support level (27169.45).

25 mars 2023

Note

Let's add calculations for potential losses and profits on a 1000-dollar investment, taking into account the two entry points and their weights:

Entry at the current price (27500):
Investment: ≈ 455 dollars (45.5% of capital)
Potential profit: (29156.67 - 27500) / 27500 ≈ 0.0602 or 6.02%
Potential income: 455 * 0.0602 ≈ 27.39 dollars
Potential loss: 455 * 0.015 ≈ 6.83 dollars (1.5% stop-loss)
Entry at the support level (27169.45):
Investment: ≈ 545 dollars (54.5% of capital)
Potential profit: (29156.67 - 27169.45) / 27169.45 ≈ 0.0731 or 7.31%
Potential income: 545 * 0.0731 ≈ 39.89 dollars
Potential loss: 545 * 0.015 ≈ 8.18 dollars (1.5% stop-loss)
In total:

Total potential profit: 27.39 + 39.89 ≈ 67.28 dollars
Total potential loss: 6.83 + 8.18 ≈ 15.01 dollars
Thus, with a 1000-dollar investment, considering capital allocation, stop-loss, and take-profit, the potential loss is approximately 15.01 dollars, and the potential profit is approximately 67.28 dollars.

26 mars 2023

Transaction en cours

⚡️BTCUSDT analytical review⚡️

Medium-term instrument is in an uptrend 📈. The current market strength on a scale of zero to one hundred is 70. Buying 🔼 is recommended.

Locally, the price has formed an ascending price channel and is currently trading within it. The lower boundary of the channel is at level 27305, and the upper boundary is at level 29292.23.

Considering the local and global trends, at the moment, there is a speculative and medium-term probability of further growth. Long positions may be opened if the price breaks and consolidates above level 29292.23, as well as on a rebound from level 27305 🔼.

Breaking and consolidating below the lower boundary of 27305 may break the current local upward trend, in which case speculative sales may occur. A medium-term short can be considered if the price falls and consolidates below level 26719.85, indicating a reversal of the medium-term trend downward

26 mars 2023

Transaction en cours

Taking into account that the entry points were 27350 and 27150:

Average entry price: (27350 * 0.45) + (27150 * 0.55) = 12307.5 + 14932.5 = 27240

Risk 1.5% of the average entry price: 27240 * 0.015 = 408.6

Target profit with a profit factor of 3 to 1: 408.6 * 3 = 1225.8

Target level for closing half of the position: 27240 + 1225.8 = 28465.8

Now that the risk level is determined, you can move the stop-loss to a level equal to the average entry price minus risk:

Stop-loss level: 27240 - 408.6 = 26831.4

🔹So, the new trading plan looks as follows:

Close half of the position at the level of 28465.8 (current price: 28250).
Move the stop-loss for both entries to the level of 26831.4 to ensure a break-even position.
Maintain a long position, following the growing trend, and open new long positions when breaking and consolidating above the level of 29343.06 or when bouncing off the level of 27355.84.
In case the price leaves and consolidates below the lower border of the channel 27355.84, close long positions and consider the possibility of speculative sales.
Consider a medium-term short when the price leaves and consolidates below the level of 26719.85, which will indicate a reversal of the medium-term trend downward.

27 mars 2023

Transaction en cours

youtube.com/watch?v=GNXO_x3515c

27 mars 2023

Transaction en cours

⚡️BTCUSDT analytical review⚡️

Currently, there is uncertainty in the instrument globally. The current market strength on a scale from zero to one hundred is 36. If the correction continues and the price falls below level 26719.85, it can be considered a break in medium-term growth and the development of a downward trend 📉. However, a move above level 28868.05 confirms an uptrend 📈 and may lead to its strengthening.

Locally, the instrument is trading below the last rising channel, which increases the likelihood of a reversal in the medium-term trend downwards 📉. A return of the price inside the channel will indicate a continuation of the sideways market sentiment, and in this case, speculative deals on the rebound from the channel boundaries are possible. Short from level 29554.87 🔽, long from level 27567.65🔼. In case of further upward movement and consolidation above level 29554.87, the probability of developing a local uptrend and, as a result, a resumption of medium-term growth 📈 increases

28 mars 2023

Trade fermée manuellement

⚡️BTCUSDT analytical review⚡️

Currently, there is uncertainty in the instrument on a global scale. The current market strength on a scale from zero to one hundred is 33.6. If the correction continues and the price drops below the level of 26719.85, it can be said that the medium-term growth is broken, and a downward trend 📉 is developing. On the other hand, a move above the level of 28868.05 confirms an upward trend 📈 and may lead to its strengthening.

Locally, the instrument is trading within a previously formed rising channel, and speculative deals may be possible on rebounds from channel boundaries. Short from level 28813.28 🔽, long from level 26675.72 🔼. If the price moves below and consolidates below level 26675.72, the probability of a local downward trend increases, which can eventually lead to a medium-term reversal downwards 📉. Conversely, a breakthrough and consolidation above level 28813.28 adds to the probability of continuing medium-term growth .