COINBASE - BULLISH SCENARIO

Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) exceeded Q3 expectations with a better-than-expected EPS and revenue. However, it saw a second consecutive quarter of declining trading volumes, causing after-hours shares to drop over 4%.
In Q3, EPS was ($0.01), surpassing the consensus estimate of ($0.55). Revenue reached $674.15 million, beating the consensus estimate of $650.97 million but declining 5% from the previous quarter.
Q3 total transaction revenue fell 12%, with a 17% drop in total trading volume. Q3 subscription and services revenue remained flat at $334 million.
For Q4, the company expects subscription and services revenue to stay roughly the same as Q3 and transaction expenses as a percentage of net revenue in the mid-teens.
Coinbase aims to achieve meaningful positive adjusted EBITDA in 2023, revising its goal from improving 2023 adjusted EBITDA in absolute dollar terms over 2022.

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