Successful cancellation of seasonal sales

15 sept.

As we approach the quarter change, I want to review the market situation once again. September is seasonally a month of sales, but at the end of August, the bulls did not show activity with a hike to 3000, allowing the price to slide to work out bearish goals at the 2000 retest. The signals for the 3000+ rest remained unprocessed. The picture is similar to a game of giveaway to safely extinguish seasonal sales at the expense of unprocessed goals from above. I think this scenario will increase the confidence and activity of buyers with seasonal growth in October. At the moment, I expect the flat to continue in the range of 2250-2750 before the opening of the new quarter. The probability of smooth growth prevails in order to return to the 3000-3250 range against the background of an attempt to reverse the semi-annual candle in the new quarter. The reason for a new test of 2000 before the end of the month can only be a new strong wave of strengthening of the dollar, but this did not happen even after the ECB rate cut. The opening level of the last quarter will have a strong impact on the market dynamics at the end of the year. An opening above 2500 will be enough to support purchases until the end of the year with the trend continuing at the beginning of the new year.
To date, given the market situation, I am leaving all positions in operation, I have reduced only the position on quick, because the price has approached a fairly strong resistance at 0.06 and judging by the monthly chart, the probability of a retest of 0.035-40 prevails before continuing to grow to 0.075-90 and above in the new quarter.
GFT and og remain the most reliable and liquid tools for storing funds as an alternative to quick. Together with them, Vib has less liquidity, but it is also well suited for this task because it is one of the most oversold coins without a monitoring tag.
Also, without the monitoring tag, pros and ast remain the most oversold coins on binance, which double-check loy due to incomplete issuance, creating interesting entry points, but also giving more abrupt disruptions against the background of a general market decline. For pros, with the current issue, the target remains a retest of 0.75-1.0, for ast, a retest of 0.150-175.
The most oversold and low-liquid coins with a monitoring tag, which gives rise to sharp breakouts, remained ooki and oax with targets up to 3X at least.