EUR/USD Holds Near 3-Month Highs, Driven by Market Expectations

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The EUR/USD pair enters a consolidation phase during Tuesday's Asian trading, hovering just below the key level of 1.0900, marking the highest point since August 14th. The pair has seen consecutive gains, surpassing 1.0900, with the upward trend sustained above crucial daily Simple Moving Averages. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70 signals overbought conditions.

On the 4-hour chart, overbought conditions persist, but no significant correction signs are evident. Further upside potential remains as long as prices stay above 1,0885. In case of a pullback, the next support level to watch is at 1,0830. On the upside, immediate resistance is around 1,0965, with a break aiming for 1,0990.

The US Dollar extended its decline on Monday, propelling the EUR/USD to a three-month high near 1.0950. The prevailing market expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has completed interest rate hikes continues to weigh on the US Dollar, driven by stock market gains on Wall Street. The Dollar Index (DXY) dropped 0.35% to 103.45, the lowest since August.

Market optimism regarding the Fed's rate hike completion, coupled with Wall Street's equity rally, maintains the upward bias for EUR/USD. The Dollar is still vulnerable as the Dollar Index seeks support.

On Tuesday, the Fed will release the latest FOMC meeting minutes. In terms of US data, the Fed Chicago National Activity Index and Existing Home Sales are scheduled. In Europe, the upcoming crucial report will be the preliminary PMI for November, set to be released on Thursday.

As long as the risk-on environment prevails, the EUR/USD pair has the potential for further gains. However, considering the superior economic performance of the US compared to the Eurozone, fundamental factors continue to support the US Dollar.
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