EURUSD: Longterm multi-timeframe analysis

6 févr. 2016

The Euro has rallied extensively the past couple days, validating a weekly time at mode uptrend, and reaching monthly resistance.
I was expecting this rally, but didn't anticipate it would start so suddenly. I have entered short positions at 1.11986 with a wide stop, and I expect the quarterly downtrend to resume in the short term.

My analysis of this pair gives important clues to further validate this view:

• The daily implies a bullish failure if we don't hit 1.13303 in one day.
  
• The monthly implies a bullish failure if we don't hit 1.13599 during March.
  
• The weekly uptrend target from the low to the mode has been hit. It's unlikely to see continuation.
  

For this and other technical reasons derived from my analysis of time at mode and the time duration of the correction in the RgMov wave count I conclude that this is due for a massive decline.

Good luck if taking this trade.
Contact me for more details on the trade setup and if interested in trading signals and/or coaching.

All the best,

Ivan Labrie.

9 févr. 2016

Note

Currently sitting at resistance, the 4h chart shows nice coiling, with new modes higher and higher.
I expect a rally to 1.1355 or higher soon. Probably starting after London opens today.
I'll look to flip short once this rally is complete.

9 févr. 2016

Note

EURUSD inching higher. Momentum's drying off and the 4h target has been almost hit.
Pay attention tomorrow.

12 févr. 2016

Note

Critical day today, we might be hitting the top, or already there.

12 févr. 2016

Note

I'm in USDCHF already, but this looks interesting.
If we expand range down, it would be a compelling signal to short.

15 févr. 2016

Transaction en cours

I shorted last night. Will hold ad eternum as part of my EURRUB pair trade.

16 févr. 2016

Note

It's possible that the long term decline I anticipated is starting.