EURUSD: The dollar is weakening amid rising expectations for a r

20 déc. 2023

The dollar is currently volatile against most major currencies as market sentiment has been hit by expectations that the US Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates. The exception remains the Japanese yen, which maintains its position against the dollar even after the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy.
Fed officials sought to manage market expectations after last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in 2024. This outlook has led to a rally in financial markets, with current expectations based on the CME FedWatch tool putting the probability of a rate cut at the March Fed meeting at 67.5%.
Kyle Rodda, Senior Financial Markets Analyst at Capital.com, said the Fed now has to decide on countermeasures that could be consistent with market expectations or lead to market instability. said it is necessary to do so. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic reiterated Tuesday that he expects two rate cuts in the second half of this year, but stressed there is no need to take immediate action. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates depends on economic development.
The dollar index, which compares the greenback against a basket of other currencies, was little changed at 102.20, after earlier falling more than 0.3%. The index hit a four-month low of 101.76 last week. Rodda also said that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the dollar's direction, indicating whether the expected rate cuts next year are justified. Investors are currently awaiting the release of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which could provide insight into whether inflation has slowed enough to warrant easing. may be provided. Will politics start next year?

20 déc. 2023

Note

💵 EURUSD SELL 1.0970-1.0980💵

✔️TP1 1.0950
✔️TP2 1.0920
❌SL 1.1100