FCX long
Short update.
Please reference my first FCX chart for my initial thoughts.
The current rally is sitting roughly at 78.6% retracement of the prior move from April 16th of 2019. As you can see we paused a little bit and consolidated after the initial move up from $8.30 (which also resulted in a pause/sideways movement). I'm looking for AT LEAST a movement to the 100% retracement at 14.51 which is currently serving as resistance from Aug-Sept double top. This level also lines up with the 2.272, 2.414, and 2.618 fib cluster extension of the prior swing high-low.
I'm looking for a small retracement of the last (second red line) movement. As you can see this movement already flagged a bit and after todays late day pump im expecting a little relief before wednesdays announcement of china trade deal.
Assuming things go okay with the signing and whatnot, I think we will at least see the 1.272 or 1.618 extension by spring/summer.
One thing to keep in mind is that FCX earnings are on Jan 23rd. Im expecting a small beat or miss. I need to refresh my memory but the prior earnings were a miss or barely beat but the FCX continued upwards on china talks and futures pumping. Earnings are turning around and production is ramping up with the opening of new deep mine in Indonesia.
What are your thoughts?
Please reference my first FCX chart for my initial thoughts.
The current rally is sitting roughly at 78.6% retracement of the prior move from April 16th of 2019. As you can see we paused a little bit and consolidated after the initial move up from $8.30 (which also resulted in a pause/sideways movement). I'm looking for AT LEAST a movement to the 100% retracement at 14.51 which is currently serving as resistance from Aug-Sept double top. This level also lines up with the 2.272, 2.414, and 2.618 fib cluster extension of the prior swing high-low.
I'm looking for a small retracement of the last (second red line) movement. As you can see this movement already flagged a bit and after todays late day pump im expecting a little relief before wednesdays announcement of china trade deal.
Assuming things go okay with the signing and whatnot, I think we will at least see the 1.272 or 1.618 extension by spring/summer.
One thing to keep in mind is that FCX earnings are on Jan 23rd. Im expecting a small beat or miss. I need to refresh my memory but the prior earnings were a miss or barely beat but the FCX continued upwards on china talks and futures pumping. Earnings are turning around and production is ramping up with the opening of new deep mine in Indonesia.
What are your thoughts?
Note
Please excuse the crappy chart orientation and make sure to view the fib at the start of 2019. I am still learning how to effectively publish ideas.
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Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Publications connexes
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.