I believe all investors have understood that the Fed will cut interest rates this week. The probability of a rate cut has reached an astonishing 80%. This news means that inflation is inevitable, which means that the US dollar may depreciate again.
On the other hand, gold will usher in a new breakthrough.
In addition, the non-farm payrolls report will become the focus of market attention. In recent years, although inflation has become the focus, with the cooling of inflation and the Federal Reserve, non-farm payrolls have once again become an important driving force for the market. Rising unemployment and increased employment opportunities, as well as the potential triggering of the "Sam Rule", may have a significant impact on the market.
Technical analysis
From the perspective of technical analysis, the spot gold price is currently located near US$2,390 per ounce, showing a certain rebound momentum. The gold price is still between the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) resistance level of $2,394/oz and the 50-day moving average (SMA) of $2,359/oz. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) hovered around 50, showing a neutral attitude towards the outlook for gold prices
Combining the analysis of fundamentals, technical aspects and news, the current gold market is at a critical turning point. The Fed's policy decision and the upcoming non-agricultural data will be important factors affecting market trends