JP225 - Elliott Wave Analysis & Market Outlook

JP225 - Elliott Wave Analysis & Market Outlook
1. Elliott Wave Structure Analysis
🔹 5-3-5 Zigzag Formation

In the early phase, a 5-3-5 Zigzag correction was identified, indicating that after an A-B-C corrective phase, the market resumed an upward trend.
This classic correction pattern suggests that although there was a strong retracement, the overall trend remains bullish.
🔹 Double Three Running Flats

The market appears to have formed a Double Three Running Flat, which signals a sideways correction rather than a deep pullback.
A Running Flat structure typically suggests that after the correction completes, the trend will resume in its original direction. If this pattern belongs to a larger B wave, an impulsive C wave up is likely to follow.
🔹 Current Structure - WXY Correction

The latest wave count indicates a WXY corrective structure, with [Y] potentially marking the end of the correction.
If this belongs to a higher-degree B wave, we could be approaching the start of an impulsive C wave rally.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
✅ Major Support Zone

A strong support zone is marked in yellow, where price has rebounded multiple times.
As long as the market holds above this level, the likelihood of a bullish reversal increases.
🚨 Major Resistance Zone

Volume Profile shows significant resistance around 38,400, making it a key level to watch.
42,400 is the previous high and a crucial breakout level. If the price pushes above it, the rally could extend further.
3. Volume & Market Strength Analysis
📊 Volume Observations

The spike in volume near the support zone suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively.
If price breaks above key resistance with strong volume, it would confirm the start of an impulsive move.
4. Trading Strategy & Outlook
📌 Short-Term Trading

Look for long opportunities near the support zone, with a stop-loss slightly below the recent low.
Initial target: 38,400-39,200 zone.
If this level breaks, the next target would be 41,000-42,400.
📌 Mid to Long-Term Positioning

If the WXY structure has completed, this could be the beginning of a larger impulsive rally.
Volume accumulation around 38,000 suggests that once price clears this level, a strong bullish continuation is likely.
📌 Risk Management

If the market breaks below the key support zone, a deeper retracement may occur, requiring a reassessment of the wave count.
Monitor price action and volume closely to avoid false breakouts.
Conclusion
✅ This study applies Elliott Wave principles, Volume Profile, and technical indicators to assess JP225’s trend structure.
✅ The market may be completing its correction phase, with a potential WXY structure signaling the end of the pullback.
✅ Watching for a breakout above Volume Profile resistance could provide confirmation of trend continuation.

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JP225 - Elliott 波浪分析與市場展望
1. 波浪理論結構分析
🔹 5-3-5 Zigzag 修正

在早期趨勢中，市場形成了一個 5-3-5 Zigzag 修正浪，顯示經過 A-B-C 修正後，市場重新進入反彈模式。
這是一種經典的修正形態，代表市場出現強烈回調，但整體趨勢仍然偏多。
🔹 雙重三浪 Running Flats

目前市場進入 雙重三浪 Running Flat 修正結構，這意味著 市場的修正是橫向延伸而非深度回調。
Running Flat 結構通常表示 修正完成後，市場將恢復原來趨勢。如果這屬於較大級別的 B 浪，那麼接下來有機會迎來 C 浪上升。
🔹 當前結構 - WXY 修正浪

近期的波浪結構顯示 WXY 組合修正浪，其中 [Y] 可能是修正結束點。
如果這個結構屬於更大級別的 B 浪，市場可能即將進入 新的推動 C 浪，開啟新一輪漲勢。
2. 關鍵支撐與阻力位
✅ 主要支撐區域

黃色區域 標記的支撐位已多次測試並反彈，說明這是一個 強勁的支撐帶。
只要價格守住該區域，則市場仍有機會延續反彈。
🚨 主要阻力區域

成交量剖面（Volume Profile）顯示 38,400 附近有大量籌碼堆積，此區域將成為短期壓力位。
上方 42,400 為前高壓力位，若突破則可能開啟更大級別的上漲行情。
3. 量價結構分析
📊 成交量觀察

支撐區域成交量明顯增加，顯示資金正在積極進場。
若價格 突破關鍵阻力並伴隨放量，將進一步確認新一輪趨勢啟動。
4. 交易策略與市場展望
📌 短線操作建議

在支撐區附近尋找買點，並設置止損於支撐區下方。
第一目標價位：38,400-39,200。
若成功突破，則可進一步看向 41,000-42,400。
📌 中長線布局策略

若 WXY 修正結束，則市場可能即將進入 C 浪推動階段，適合開始中長線多單佈局。
38,000 附近成交量積累較大，若價格突破並站穩，可能會帶來更大級別的上升趨勢。
📌 風險控制建議

若價格 跌破關鍵支撐區並收於低點，則市場可能進一步下探，需要重新評估波浪結構。
需密切關注 成交量變化與價格行為，避免誤判行情。
總結
✅ 本次分析應用了 Elliott 波浪理論、成交量剖面（Volume Profile）及技術分析來判斷 JP225 的市場結構。
✅ 市場可能接近修正尾聲，WXY 結構的完成可能預示新一輪上升趨勢的啟動。
✅ 如果價格突破成交量密集區，則將進一步確認趨勢方向。

建議考慮加入 RSI 或 Impulse MACD 等動能指標，以進一步確認市場轉勢訊號！🚀