Sorry, it's late and I'm tired but wanted to get this out, if for nothing else than to buildup some ideas and interesting things i've seen.
This is really an update of my idea a couple of days ago on the gap down being a flag than has simply been gap filled over than past week.
I'm seeing open gap down, lower than 3115, maybe (news/pump/asia dependent) we could even get down into the 3060s before open.