#nifty50 Week ahead, 3-7th Feb 2025

The Nifty ended the week at 23,482, up nearly 400 points from last Friday’s close, with a high of 23,632 and a low of 22,786. With Saturday's budget announcement and tax break news, all eyes will be on Monday, which could be a game-changer. The new tax slabs will bring relief to many in the middle class, but institutional investors are carefully assessing its impact on the broader market. Monday’s closing could give us a clearer picture of how they’re positioning themselves, making it a critical day to watch.

Looking ahead, I anticipate Nifty may trade within the range of 24,000 to 22,950 next week. However, the weekly and monthly charts are still in a bearish phase, and until we see a shift toward a bullish trend on at least a weekly timeframe, the best approach remains to "sell on rallies."

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 closed at 6,040, about 60 points lower than last week. It tried to break through the strong resistance at 6,100 but couldn’t manage it. The weekly chart suggests a potential "W" pattern, but for that to play out, the index may need to drop and test support levels of 5,880-5,850. If that happens, it could trigger selling pressure on global markets, including India.

It’s going to be a crucial week ahead—prepare for a potentially volatile market environment!