Nifty roars to new heights, scaling a weekly peak of 24,830, a sizzling 300 points above the prior week's close. This bullish run, marked by a high of 24,861 and a low of 24,074, was anticipated by many. As predicted, the Union Budget unleashed a wave of volatility, with the Nifty diving 2% initially due to increased LTCG, STCG, and the removal of indexation benefits. Yet, the index swiftly recovered, mirroring the market's resilience.
This volatility created golden opportunities for savvy investors. Stocks like IRFC and IRB plunged by 20-30% on budget day, only to rebound sharply, indicating a rush to capitalize on these dips. Nifty has been tightly confined between 25,000 and 23,950, a range it's respected diligently. For the upcoming week, I expect a trading band of 25,400 to 24,300. A breakout from either end promises exciting fireworks.
While the daily chart shows some weakness, the weekly and monthly trends remain robust. A decisive close above 24,900 next week could ignite a rally towards 26,300. However, the looming RBI policy announcement on August 8th casts a shadow, potentially triggering another round of selling. Until then, the bullish undercurrent is likely to persist.
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