Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 29th:
The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also maintains a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 90 points.
Today, both Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar structures. First, let's look at Nifty.
Nifty has consolidated slightly, but the closing was negative. GiftNifty is also indicating a continuation of the correction. According to the wave structure, the correction over the past two trading days could be a "4th correctional wave," and today’s gap-down might be the final leg of the correction (subwave "C"). After the correction finds support at either 50% or 61%, we can expect a bounce back that could be the 5th wave. Since it's a distribution wave, the movement might have less volume. This is the basic structure. Now, let's look at the current variation.
The current variation indicates that if the gap-down sustains and consolidates or breaks the 50% Fibonacci level, it could fall further, potentially reaching 61%. As discussed, if the market finds support at the 61% Fibonacci level after the correction, it may bounce back. For reversal confirmation, you can use EMA20 or a minor swing Fibonacci level 38% breakout.
Note: Here is another variation based on the structure. If the correction has a solid formation, it will likely continue. We can also confirm this if the market forms inside bars or pinbar candles, indicating continued correction. Additionally, if the retracement after the correction doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, we can expect the correction to continue. Positions should be taken only if it breaks the previous low.
The alternate variation suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support or if the initial market takes a solid pullback, we can expect a range market to rally continuation.
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