Bizarre NASDAQ Movements 25.01.23

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Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday’s Analysis Results
Chart: snapshot

Buy Perspective:
No buy signals were provided.

Sell Perspective:
The first signal for a sell was the break below the ascending trendline, as mentioned earlier.
After the Asian session ended on 25.01.23, the ascending trendline was broken, triggering a sell.
The price dropped by approximately 71 points after the breakdown, yielding a $1,400 profit per contract.

Following Up on Yesterday’s Setup
Chart: snapshot

The rising wedge pattern did not fully complete. Instead, the NASDAQ created a new trend in the red box, pushing even higher than the previous pattern.
It eventually re-entered the pattern but has not yet confirmed a full breakout.
A more conservative trading approach would be to wait for a break below the blue zone to confirm a trend reversal.

NASDAQ on the 4-Hour Chart
Chart: snapshot

As previously noted, the NASDAQ broke above the upper boundary of the orange box, rallying to 22093 (near the next supply zone’s upper boundary) before a pullback began.
The uptrend remains intact for now.

However, there are some red flags:

The NASDAQ’s momentum appears to weaken, as corrections are becoming more prominent during the end of the U.S. session and in the Asian + European sessions.

Daily Chart Analysis
Chart: snapshot

On the daily chart, the current candle is an inside bar following three consecutive bullish candles.

Key Levels:

Resistance: ~22000
Support: ~21806
How today’s daily candle closes will likely play a critical role in determining the market direction for the rest of the week.

Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart: snapshot

Buy Recommendation:
None.

Reason:
The price has risen significantly, and it seems prudent to observe the market for now.
While the uptrend is still intact and the price could continue higher without offering clear entries (as seen yesterday), preserving your capital is just as important as making profits.

Sell Recommendation:

Entry: Upon breaking below the orange ascending trendline.
Reason:
Breaking this key trendline could signal a major shift in the market structure.
If this happens, it’s unclear whether the price will test the purple resistance trendline or if a full trend reversal will occur.
Regardless, entering a sell near the highs offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity.

Conclusion
The NASDAQ has displayed strong upward momentum but also signs of weakening, especially in the non-U.S. sessions.

For buyers: Observe from the sidelines and avoid chasing the price.
For sellers: Look for a trendline breakdown to enter positions near the highs, as this could signal the start of a broader reversal.
Stay disciplined and focused. 🚀

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