Bounce idea for oil

29 juil. 2017

Oil is losing upward power and the oil ETFs are becoming overbought and oversold. This idea is playing a daily bounce back to the 10EMA and gap area. After that oil will have to figure out which to go.

29 juil. 2017

Transaction en cours

Oil futures may go bull over Sunday night, but it'll be limited. Oil won't last long over $50-51. It may make this new high, but oil runs the risk of snapping back in exhaustion. In the horizon, Oil could make a 2nd bull run towards 51ish, but that's to be seen.

Oil ETFs are pushed to their max on their RSI, so a counter move needs to happen in the near term future. I could see one more price spike, but that would be the end.

31 juil. 2017

Transaction en cours

Quick note. Oil did rise over Sunday night and my topping thought happened. A near even $50 happened which is saying physiological level to me. I'm liking the $47.50 area for oil support more now.

1 août 2017

Transaction en cours

Oil has been choppy making new highs overnight. If oil dives towards $47.5 today then I'd sell SCO near the $39 area and I'd call this idea complete reaching the 10 EMA. My thinking is oil could bounce back up making new highs near $51. This is all conditional, but most of the time more than one price path is needed in the markets.

1 août 2017

Transaction en cours

I meant 48.50ish on oil maybe 47.50ish on a sell off. See if it happens today. If it happens I'd sell SCO and see what happens next.

1 août 2017

Trade fermée manuellement

oil looks a bit bull and thinking the 48.50 oil maybe the low. IF oil goes bull then I'd rebuy near 34ish.

1 août 2017

Trade fermée manuellement

Still sketchy here. I may reenter with momentum, but today's rejection was a lot without reaching $39. If oil goes bull again then the 10 ema would touch today's SCO daily wick. Oil drops again then I'm back in SCO other wise it could drop to the $34 area. I target $51.50 for oil if bull. 5150 Van Halen.

Anything could happen in the markets, so be like water.

2 août 2017

Trade fermée manuellement

Still waiting. Oil made a crazy snap back bullish, but it's not really moving ATM.
I was looking for solid bars with SCO and all we got were wicks. I'm eyeing the 34ish area to buy SCO again. That should but the RSI under 30 on the daily. See what happens.....

2 août 2017

Trade fermée manuellement

Oil 48.50 is key for bullish or bearish movements. Oil didn't move much today so no point taking a position.

3 août 2017

Transaction en cours

I took a position. SCO closing 38.75 or greater is good.

3 août 2017

Transaction en cours

SCO did make a bullish engulfing candle pattern and the inverse USO oil made a bearish engulfing pattern. Still closing the daily oil under $48.50 is the next bearish step.

4 août 2017

Transaction en cours

I'd like to see oil head towards the 47.50ish area. I'll take profit in that area from SCO and look to reenter on a bounce.

7 août 2017

Trade fermée: ordre d’arrêt atteint

not moving enough to have a position

7 août 2017

Trade fermée: ordre d’arrêt atteint

Oil is still bull until it isn't. This idea was for a bounce which didn't happen. I won't go long on oil or short till something breaks.