Commencez
Cryptogold14

Visualizing the Current Market in Relation to Past Recessions

L'indice S&P 500 (SP:SPX)  
Cryptogold14 Mis à jour   
SP:SPX   L'indice S&P 500
Multiple Time Frame Analysis Fractal Chart Patterns SPX (S&P 500 Index) US SPX 500 greatdepression blackswan usspx500 recession bearmarket
9
2
mtfa fractal chartpattern spx spx500usd greatdepression blackswan usspx500 recession bearmarket
It is helpful to view past recession trajectories to get a visual idea of where we are at the moment. I chose the recessions which were most relevant to today's market conditions. The 01 (purple) and 08-09 (dark blue) recessions were the first "modern" recessions where MMT was being implemented and tech made up a significant chunk of the market. The 70 (reddish brown) and 73-75 (green) recessions were the first stagflation recessions of the 70s. Finally, the Great Depression (light blue) is shown as a worst case scenario. If this current period mirrors history, a bounce or sideways movement through the rest of 2022 wouldn't be surprising. While a depression trajectory is possible, I don't believe it is most likely at this point.
Commentaire:
Many people are calling a new bull market now that inflation is dropping. I think it's too early. The current trajectory still closely mirrors 08-09.
Commentaire:
This week's FOMC meeting suggested the FED isn't ready to cave in the battle against inflation. More pain comes before the pivot.
Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.