Indice S&P 500
Short
Mis à jour

SPX - 30% Correction Minimum

Idea for SPX:
- Likely levels for correction: 30-50%.
- 2018 fractal top fit.
- Diamond top, H&S looking structure:
snapshot

"Stonks only go up" is simply laughable. Great chance for a generational top.

GLHF
- DPT
Transaction en cours
Yields dropping rapidly signals institutional fear:
snapshot
Transaction en cours
Likey the CPI prints a dropoff, and inflation bulls will be decimated.
Transaction en cours
Swing and a miss for the CPI call, yet interestingly, yields support my case.

Unsurprising for yields dropping, as Fed Balance Sheets show a downturn in liquidity components.

Further drop of of yields in rising inflation is a red flag, and will effect equities:
snapshot
Transaction en cours
Speculation: G7 will discuss recurring "green lockdowns", permanent, recurring lockdowns for COVID and the climate: wbcsd.org/Overview/Panorama/Articles/Avoiding-a-climate-lockdown-Professor-in-the-Economics-of-Innovation-and-Public-Value-at-University-College-London
Transaction en cours
"G7 members are angry at multinational tax avoidance, especially in relation to the big tech companies like Google, Facebook and Amazon, whose profits have grown exponentially in the pandemic while their tax payments remain negligible. The US leadership on a minimum global rate for corporation tax – and also new rules that would tax the world’s biggest 100 companies based on where they generate revenues rather than where they are based for tax purposes – is a huge opportunity to stop multinationals from playing countries off against one another."

theconversation.com/g7-deal-uk-is-badly-conflicted-between-offshore-tax-havens-and-bidens-global-tax-drive-162190?utm_medium=amptwitter&utm_source=twitter
Transaction en cours
Markets losing momentum at topping patterns:
snapshot
Transaction en cours
Risk Indicator flashing warning, not sell yet.
Risk Model suggests possible Long VOL signal:
- Tech shows possible reversal patterns: snapshot
- Low Market breadth in tech rally, bearish divergences.
- Lumber, Gold, Copper, commodities signal reversal.
- Big VIX call flow.
- Yields and DXY suggest sell.
- Only Oil seems to be holding up markets.
Transaction en cours
Credit Cycle Reversal now affecting financial sector:
The Credit Cycle - Free Wealth is Over?
Transaction en cours
Finally a shift in momentum in stock markets...

Clause de non-responsabilité