SPX 500 Bias is firmly up

Mis à jour
all in the video. I expect a pullback but it does look like 4600-4700 will be the goal by the end of the year. Probably beaten down stocks will finally play catch up to the Magnificent 7....
Note
we may top this A wave this morning, but a push up to 4560 area still very possible. Either way a correction is coming soon. snapshot
Note
if we start to pullback the 18ma weekly at 4400 should be strong support. If the market loses that 18ma I will be surprised and it will indicate this week being a bull trap. We could conceivably test the recent lows. This is an alternative. I only bring that up because right now every post I see is bullish on the market into the end of the year, so if we lose that 18, that would certainly put a dent in the bull case for a year end rally. snapshot
Note
also keep the gaps in mind on SPX both above and below snapshot
Note
by the end of today the hourly RSI is already quite low. I expect another high with more divergence tomorrow. Jobs numbers at 830 could spike it hard and give the divergence I'm looking for by open, in which case I would think the open sells. snapshot
Note
good morning, not much selling overnight. Hourly RSI still low, but it's possible we get a sell down after 830 numbers. However, it would probably be a buy, with the RSI even more oversold.

snapshot
Note
if they can't get over the highs on futures, then the correction down is likely starting, - snapshot
Note
C wave possibly in progress. If they get over the last high they will probably get to 4550 area... snapshot
Note
one more push up still makes sense for today. IWM and DJT weak - sometimes a leading indicator. Some of the Mag 7 also quite weak today... snapshot
Note
this is how futures ended, with the pump at close. i think we'll pullback now but we'll have to see how the morning looks...

snapshot
Note
good norming, no sell off, but we did have a rising wedge overnight. It just broke, any retest of it is an objective short possibility. Above the previous high and it will likely start squeezing higher - maybe to 4550, not usre just yet. Previous high overnight has not been taken out. snapshot
Note
closer view snapshot
Note
futures should go up to test the wedge, which means SPX cash should make one more high. However, IWM and DJT look like they may have topped already. I'll make a video about the divergences between indexes this weekend. snapshot
Chart PatternsTechnical IndicatorsWave Analysis

Aussi sur:

Publications connexes

Clause de non-responsabilité