Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.26.2025

91
🔮 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:

🇺🇸🤔 U.S. Consumer Confidence Dives 🤔: American consumer confidence fell to 98.3 in February (down from 105.3 in January), The steepest one-month drop since 2021.

🇩🇪📉 German GDP Contracts 📉: Germany’s economy shrank by 0.2% in Q4 2024 (quarter-on-quarter), confirming a downturn in Europe’s largest economy. Recession concerns in the Eurozone could influence global growth sentiment as exports and industry show signs of weakness.

🇺🇸💱 Fed Rate Cut Bets Trimmed 💱: Markets are now pricing in only one 25bps rate reduction in 2025 (versus two previously expected),

📊 Key Data Releases 📊:

📅 Wednesday, Feb 26:

🏠 MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00 ET) 🏠: Last week’s applications fell -6.6% amid rising interest rates. Traders will watch if lower demand continues, as higher borrowing costs cool the housing market.

🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 ET) 🏠: Consensus expects around 680K units (vs 698K in December). This Jan report will show if higher mortgage rates are slowing home sales or if housing demand remains resilient to start 2025.

🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 ET) 🛢️: Last week, inventories rose to about 432.5 million barrels. A larger-than-expected draw could boost oil prices, while a build might ease price pressures (and inflation concerns).

💬 Fed’s Bostic Speaks (12:00 ET) 💬: Markets will monitor his commentary for any hints on monetary policy or growth/inflation views.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis

Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.