S&P 500 End of Year Prediction

Pretty basic prediction based on a few factors.

  1. Vanna/Charm flows strength due to OpEx
  2. Seasonality
  3. Hedged Equity funds positioning
  4. Large gaps lower from Nov1 short squeeze
  5. T/A of an Inverted Head & Shoulders forming
  6. Gamma Exposure of overall dealer positioning


This prediction assumes no "market events" occur between now and Jan 1st.

Trend Analysis

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