The SPY is getting closer to all-time highs. Today I'm going to update my technical analysis on the index as I think that the fear has slowed down. The Ukraine conflict has been getting less attention generally and the uncertainty that the last FOMC could've caused did turn into a relief sign.
First, I don't want to say that my opinion has changed drastically, instead I just want to clarify that I was slightly bearish, sentiment that turned bullish. I'm not saying that the SPY will touch $500 now, neither $350.
As we can see in the chart, we've set some higher lows and some lower highs. My last post is still in play, in which I said that we will reject 455$ (nPoC and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement). My shorter term target is around $440, that would turn resistance into support.
After that, if fundamentals don't look bad and we continue trending up I would like to see a new all-time high. Lastly, the economic events that I will personally be following are: GDP Report (March 30th), Jobs Report (April 1st), Consumer Price Index (April 12th) and the Consumer Confidence Report (April 26th).