What's Next For TON?

TON dropped ~20% after the news that Telegram founder Pavel Durov was arrested in Paris. The arrest followed investigations that focused on a lack of moderators on Telegram.

According to French media, Durov faces a possible indictment on Sunday. Overall, the case is quite complex since Durov also holds Russian citizenship.

Let's take a look at the chart!
Once the news came out, TON started a free fall. Shorts/hedges undoubtedly contributed most of the decline.

However, the sharp decline was stopped by the long-term uptrend line similar to the drop in May and the beginning of August.

Depending on the details of today's indictment, we might see another move to the downside. However, the level between 4.6 and 4.8 should serve as solid support.

Although it is always risky to catch a falling knife, the market seems to be overreacting, and we should see a reversal soon. With BNB, any Binance FUD was usually a buy and saw the same price action and shorts going in. These things do tend to take some time to play out so don't expect a full retrace the same day.