Yield Curve Inversion + S&P500 strong retractions
Chart showing lead time between the curve inversion and the start of the stock market crashes along the time.
Longest lead time was around 760 days (+2 years)
Shortest lead time was 4-5 months.
Consider a 6 months as a rule for your readiness:
- Build up cash reserves.
- Partial sells of variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- From 4-6 months forward, start buying OTM SP500 options, specially when VIX is on support levels. (Bear Put Spreads are also a viable alternative).
Start of the crash, what to do:
- When SP500 has fallen around 20-30% from its peak, start buying variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- Sell your OTM put options
- ALWAYS KEEP SOME CASH RESERVE!
Longest lead time was around 760 days (+2 years)
Shortest lead time was 4-5 months.
Consider a 6 months as a rule for your readiness:
- Build up cash reserves.
- Partial sells of variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- From 4-6 months forward, start buying OTM SP500 options, specially when VIX is on support levels. (Bear Put Spreads are also a viable alternative).
Start of the crash, what to do:
- When SP500 has fallen around 20-30% from its peak, start buying variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc).
- Sell your OTM put options
- ALWAYS KEEP SOME CASH RESERVE!
Publications connexes
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Publications connexes
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.