10-Year Treasury Yield Trendline Breakout Faces Next Test

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The 10-year Treasury yield confirmed a breakout under a near-term rising trendline from March, opening the door to reversing the uptrend since then.

Rising concerns about a recession in the United States, also amid a general slowdown in global growth expectations, are pressuring bond yields lower.

Ahead, the 10-year rate is facing the May low at 2.705 where the 100-day Simple Moving Average is fast approaching. The latter could still reinstate the dominant upside focus.

Otherwise, more pain may be in store. Below is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 2.3667. Resuming the uptrend entails a push back above the current 2022 high at 3.497.

US10Y

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