USDJPY potential dump incoming

possible scenario according to me on USDJPY- we have touched RWL (lowest point which the price can travel through the week) which was the level 1 drop of 1/4 hours cycle, + with this current continues drop a lot of retail traders fomo in to short and definitely MM have to shake out them before going for level 2 & 3 so they used todays news for this purpose as mm already knows what news is going to come and it will be positive or not, since we have touched RWH we really expect a good amount of distribution and spike to the high with stopping volume for wed- thus and on friday they should start going to break down for the reset of weekly levels (RWH&RWL) then we should go for RWL again till mon-tue and form W at wed and then same weekly cycle.