Key Stats Dividend Yield: 0.66% (Not exactly a retirement dream here) Market Cap: 6.79B Next Earnings Date: January 30, 2025
Technical Reasons for Decline 1️⃣ Head and Shoulders Breakdown: X recently completed a textbook head-and-shoulders pattern, breaking below $26.50 support with high volume. The next significant support zone sits near $22.00. 2️⃣ Bearish Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is crossing below the 200-day MA (death cross), often signaling more downside. 3️⃣ RSI Deterioration: Momentum is fading, with RSI hovering near 38, showing weak buying interest and no signs of a reversal.
Fundamental Reasons for Decline 1️⃣ Falling Steel Prices: Declining global steel demand due to slowing construction and manufacturing activity weighs heavily on X’s revenue projections. 2️⃣ CapEx Concerns: High capital expenditure commitments (2.5B planned for 2024) will pressure cash flow, especially in a downturn. 3️⃣ Macro Headwinds: The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and potential economic slowdown spell trouble for cyclical industries like steel.
Potential Paths to Profit Option 1 (Low Risk): Sell short shares of X or use inverse ETFs if available. Option 2 (Moderate Risk): Buy February 2025 $25 strike puts and aim for a 20%-100% profit.
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