This week, the XAUUSD market was consolidating rather than trending, with momentum primarily seen on Tuesday. Despite this, the weekly candle closed bullish, making it the eighth consecutive bullish weekly candle. On the daily timescale, the last three candles are doji candles, indicating consolidation near the previous week's high level. This shows that the overall bullish trend has at least temporarily paused.
The price closed below the previous week's low, a trend that continued this week. Despite this, we have reached an all-time high, and the price action appears to be building a head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour timescale. This pattern, however, might easily change into a bullish flag pattern if the price reaches 2950.
Given these variables, I predict the market may surge upward one more time before undergoing a significant drop. If the market responds positively to the psychological level and upward trendline, there is a good likelihood the upward momentum will continue.
The price has completely corresponded with my earlier forecast from Friday, as the market moved higher early this morning. Today could produce another doji candle on the daily period. Meanwhile, on the 1H timeframe, the price is forming a bullish flag pattern, indicating an upside breakout. I believe the price will continue to range before rising into the resistance zone. However, if the market does come back, there is a strong confluence zone below that provides an excellent opportunity to go long: the psychological level, the ascending trendline, and the prior weekly low area. My target is a resistance zone about 2977.
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Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.