XAUUSD 1D Market Idea

3 févr.

- Gold prices soared to a new record high of $2,817 last week, driven by rising concerns over tariffs and inflation. President Trump’s announcement of 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, coupled with the possibility of additional tariffs on Chinese goods, fueled fears about disrupted supply chains and higher costs. Over the past month, gold has risen by more than 6%, and experts believe that as long as trade uncertainties persist, demand for gold will remain strong.

- The Federal Reserve also played a role in gold’s rally by keeping interest rates steady. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that future rate cuts would depend on inflation and labor market conditions. However, with growing concerns over trade and signs of a slowing economy, many investors remain uncertain about how long the Fed can maintain its current stance. This uncertainty has supported gold prices, as traders seek assets less affected by economic instability.

- At the same time, central banks around the world are quietly increasing their gold reserves, which further supports gold prices. Their steady buying helps create a solid floor for gold, reinforcing its position as a hedge against geopolitical and financial risks. Additionally, reports indicate that there is increasing demand for gold in key markets, with more deliveries to U.S. vaults as investors seek protection from the ongoing trade tensions.

- Looking ahead, the upcoming U.S. jobs report will be crucial for both the Fed’s next move and gold prices. If the jobs report shows weaker-than-expected data, it could spark speculation that the Fed will need to cut rates sooner than anticipated, which would likely push gold even higher. On the other hand, a strong jobs report could give the Fed confidence to maintain its cautious approach, potentially slowing down gold’s rally.

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XAUUSD Moving well +360 pips

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