Did Gold(XAUUSD) touch 2350 in 2024 & 1919 or 1565 in 2025/26
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Is Gold (XAUUSD) will touch 1565 in 2025/26?
This may be the wrong anticipation in the current scenario, because gold is in bull run . In the last 9 day gold went 200 Points ie 10% up due to the collapse of Us bank the investors are back to traditional safe haven asset. In the long term scenario there is no uptrend but also downtrend in the market .
2001 to 2011 2012 to 2015
(253 to 1904) (1796 to 1047)
619 % UP 40 % Down
+1665 Points -731 Points
In the period of 2001 to 2011 the gold is the bull run . The acceleration of this bull run happen after 2008 , because the investors anticipated the recession in coming years . XAUUSD went 1035 points in the year of (2009 to 2011).
Gold Bubble
The gold bubble of 2011 was a period of rapidly rising gold prices, which peaked in September of that year at around $1,900 per ounce before subsequently falling. The reasons for this bubble are complex and multifaceted, but some of the key factors that contributed to it include:
Economic Uncertainty: The global financial crisis of 2008 created a sense of uncertainty in the markets, leading many investors to seek refuge in gold as a safe-haven asset.
Inflation Fears: The massive government stimulus programs that were implemented in response to the financial crisis raised concerns about inflation, which also boosted demand for gold.
Low Interest Rates: The low interest rate environment of the time made gold more attractive to investors who were looking for alternative investment opportunities.
Supply Constraints: There were concerns about the availability of gold, with some analysts warning of potential shortages due to declining production levels and geopolitical risks.
Investor Speculation: Finally, investor speculation played a role in driving up gold prices during this period, with many traders buying into the market in the hopes of profiting from rising prices.
Taken together, these factors created a perfect storm that pushed gold prices to record highs in 2011. However, as economic conditions improved and inflation fears abated, the bubble eventually burst, leading to a sharp decline in gold prices.
2012 to 2015
(1796 to 1047)
40 % Down
-731 Points
After the bear market ,THE BULLS GOT 2016 to 2022
2016 to 2022
(1055 to 2075)
97 % Up
+ 1027 Points
In the period of 2016 to 2022 the gold is in hand of bull , other than some sort of correction happened in the period but price is in the hand of bulls.
*And in the same year Aug 2020 Gold hit all time high of 2075 , from there it corrected to 1690 in Mar 2021.
*Then in March 2022 it again went to 2070 Cause of Russia and Ukraine war.
*In Oct 2022 XAUUSD XAUUSD touch 2 Years low 1615 due to aggressive rate hike of FED to fight against inflation
After Nov 2022 the signal of less interest rate hike from Fed in anticipation of controlled inflation , lead the buying in gold Jan 2023 gold touched 1960.
20 March 2023 XAUUSD touch 2010 due to the collapse of US Banks SVB and Signature bank . The investors anticipated and back to the traditional safe haven asset . 9 March to 20 March 2023 XAUUSD went 200 POINTS UP 1809 to 2009.
FUTURE of XAUUSD
XAUUSD 2350 in 2023/24
XAUUSD 1565 in 2025/26
XAUUSD 2350 in 2023/24
XAUUSD will be in bull in 2023 and 2024 because of an expected rate cut by the FED and XAUUSD target expected in 2350
XAUUSD 1565 in 2025/26
After reaching 2350 we can expect the scenario of a Gold bubble can happen and the price can be dragged to 1919 OR 1565
WHAT YOUR OPINION ?
This may be the wrong anticipation in the current scenario, because gold is in bull run . In the last 9 day gold went 200 Points ie 10% up due to the collapse of Us bank the investors are back to traditional safe haven asset. In the long term scenario there is no uptrend but also downtrend in the market .
2001 to 2011 2012 to 2015
(253 to 1904) (1796 to 1047)
619 % UP 40 % Down
+1665 Points -731 Points
In the period of 2001 to 2011 the gold is the bull run . The acceleration of this bull run happen after 2008 , because the investors anticipated the recession in coming years . XAUUSD went 1035 points in the year of (2009 to 2011).
Gold Bubble
The gold bubble of 2011 was a period of rapidly rising gold prices, which peaked in September of that year at around $1,900 per ounce before subsequently falling. The reasons for this bubble are complex and multifaceted, but some of the key factors that contributed to it include:
Economic Uncertainty: The global financial crisis of 2008 created a sense of uncertainty in the markets, leading many investors to seek refuge in gold as a safe-haven asset.
Inflation Fears: The massive government stimulus programs that were implemented in response to the financial crisis raised concerns about inflation, which also boosted demand for gold.
Low Interest Rates: The low interest rate environment of the time made gold more attractive to investors who were looking for alternative investment opportunities.
Supply Constraints: There were concerns about the availability of gold, with some analysts warning of potential shortages due to declining production levels and geopolitical risks.
Investor Speculation: Finally, investor speculation played a role in driving up gold prices during this period, with many traders buying into the market in the hopes of profiting from rising prices.
Taken together, these factors created a perfect storm that pushed gold prices to record highs in 2011. However, as economic conditions improved and inflation fears abated, the bubble eventually burst, leading to a sharp decline in gold prices.
2012 to 2015
(1796 to 1047)
40 % Down
-731 Points
After the bear market ,THE BULLS GOT 2016 to 2022
2016 to 2022
(1055 to 2075)
97 % Up
+ 1027 Points
In the period of 2016 to 2022 the gold is in hand of bull , other than some sort of correction happened in the period but price is in the hand of bulls.
- In 2020 the march XAUUSD corrected - 250 Points (- 14%) in time of covid Low(1452).
*And in the same year Aug 2020 Gold hit all time high of 2075 , from there it corrected to 1690 in Mar 2021.
*Then in March 2022 it again went to 2070 Cause of Russia and Ukraine war.
*In Oct 2022 XAUUSD XAUUSD touch 2 Years low 1615 due to aggressive rate hike of FED to fight against inflation
After Nov 2022 the signal of less interest rate hike from Fed in anticipation of controlled inflation , lead the buying in gold Jan 2023 gold touched 1960.
20 March 2023 XAUUSD touch 2010 due to the collapse of US Banks SVB and Signature bank . The investors anticipated and back to the traditional safe haven asset . 9 March to 20 March 2023 XAUUSD went 200 POINTS UP 1809 to 2009.
FUTURE of XAUUSD
XAUUSD 2350 in 2023/24
XAUUSD 1565 in 2025/26
XAUUSD 2350 in 2023/24
XAUUSD will be in bull in 2023 and 2024 because of an expected rate cut by the FED and XAUUSD target expected in 2350
XAUUSD 1565 in 2025/26
After reaching 2350 we can expect the scenario of a Gold bubble can happen and the price can be dragged to 1919 OR 1565
WHAT YOUR OPINION ?
Note
MARCH 2024 ------> Rate cut expecting Will XAUUSD Fly to 2350
Note
O9 APR 2024 XAUUSD -> 236012 APR 2024 XAUUSD -> 2420
12 APR - 02 MAY ---> (2420 - 2277)
03 MAY 2024 XAUUSD -> 2277
20 MAY XAUUSD --- > 2450
07 JUNE -----> 2287
Till the FED does not cut the rate, in this year fed expected one rate cut expectation , but the expert expecting Two Rate cuts .
In the time of the rate cut XAUUSD Expecting Further UP Expecting 2500$ - 3000$
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