DEMO 1-3, 4-MIN BAR

Good until it's not.

Commentaire:

12:03 PM, I gotta get going.
a) so I updated both routes for 4-min bar
b) but the overall 90-min bar picture has stayed the same FOR BOTH ROUTES
c) the bear route would simply re-merge and without added vol

Commentaire:

12:08 PM ET, I imagine:
a) 1-4 tonight
b) 1-5 at 2-3 AM (only this way solves the overnight manipulation)
c) 1-6 before NY OPEN
d) 1-7 around noon tomorrow
e) that schedule would "cover all bases" to very little surprise
f) this would be easy to do if I do not have to adjust 90-min chart
g) bc at some point, we have to move to DEMO 2 - 90-min bar, or 60, or 45 or whatever
h) keep in mind, fill or kill 2/27

Commentaire:

12:20 CROSSOVER IS WHERE THEY 'KISS' NEXT:

a) chart above is DEMO-1
b) where they kiss next,
c) is "crossover"
d) until bulls move aggressively away from crossover
e) odds have not moved meaningfully

Commentaire:

f) on an "intermediate basis"

Commentaire:

Commentaire:

1:13 no decision ... yet:

Commentaire:

Commentaire:

1:28 PM 2028, so I'm on the run until 1-4.

Commentaire:

2/20, 4:49 PM ET, WHERE WE ARE:
1) if you replay chart at top, price has moved to bear outcome
2) but if you replay this:

3) in chart above, you'll see that price started out over performing blue hilight
4) but now its under performing and is about to lose the support at second black arrow

Commentaire:

5) but if you replay this:

6) for chart above, we still have not hit the 'kiss" crossover
7) until then, it's not obvious that this resolves bearishly
8) I stated at the beginning of 1-1 that I did not expect decisiveness until Wednesday
9) and that is still true

Commentaire:

2/20, 6:36 PM ET, WHILE EDITING ROUTE, I FOUND EQUILIBRIUM, SO HERE'S DEMO 2:

Commentaire:

2/20, 11:05 PM ET, HERE IS 1-4: