'ORCA A - Bitcoin/U.S. Dollar . INDEX . Daily Chart'

avant-hier

This script identifies bullish/bearish market regimes for Bitcoin using a hybrid strategy combining price action, on-chain data, and multi-timeframe confirmations. It avoids simple "indicator mashups" by enforcing strict logical gates between 6 independent systems. Below is the breakdown:

Core Components & Bull/Bear Conditions
1. Trend Foundation: Parabolic SAR & EMA Ribbon
SAR (5D/1W): Dynamic stop-loss levels. A bullish flip occurs when SAR moves below price; a bearish flip when above.

EMA Ribbon: 50-day (short-term) vs. 200-day (long-term) EMAs across 4H/D timeframes.

Golden Cross (Bull): 50EMA > 200EMA on both 4H and daily charts.

Death Cross (Bear): 50EMA < 200EMA on both timeframes.

2. Momentum Filters: ADX + RSI
ADX (14-period): Filters trades to strong trends (ADX > 20 + rising).

Bull: +DI > -DI and rising.

Bear: -DI > +DI and rising.

RSI (14-period): Custom thresholds for Bitcoin’s volatility:

Bull: RSI > 56 (overbought breakout in uptrends).

Bear: RSI < 44 (oversold breakdown in downtrends).

3. Cycle Timing: Pi Cycle Top/Bottom
Pi Bottom (Bull): 150-day EMA crosses under 471-day SMA (historical accumulation zones).

Pi Top (Bear): 350-day SMA crosses under 111-day SMA (macro distribution signals).

Blocks trades if a Pi Top signal occurred in the past 60 days (avoids false bulls during macro downtrends).

4. Miner Sentiment: Hash Ribbon
Capitulation Phase (Bear): 30-day Hash Rate SMA < 60-day SMA.

Recovery Phase (Bull): 30-day SMA > 60-day SMA + 10-day price SMA > 20-day SMA.

Required for bear exits: Recent capitulation within 60 days.

5. Volatility Normalization: Fisher Transform
Bullish Setup: Fisher Value (fish1) < 1.92 (price not overextended).

Bearish Setup: Fisher Value > -1.89 (price not oversold).

6. Multi-Timeframe SAR Confirmation
5D SAR must align with 1W SAR (e.g., both below price for bulls).

avant-hier

Notes de version

USE WITH ORCA B

avant-hier

Notes de version

USE WITH ORCA B