15 Mar ’24 — BankNifty might have to fall 400+ pts to go bearish
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty fell 195 points today ~ -0.42%, but that would end up not being sufficient to push it into Bear territory. We might need roughly 400+ points fall to slip into the bearish channel following which both N50 and BN will have the same direction. Over the last 2.5 months rarely did both the indices align in the same direction for at least 3 to 4 days consecutively. NiftyIT always interrupted a smooth directional buildup happening between these two indices and often confused N50 with false triggers.
4mts chart
The lower high formation and the start of the 2nd leg are more beautiful on BN rather than N50. We expect the IV to go up once BN enters the bearish channel.45788 was the approximate level from which BN had 11 consecutive 63mts GREEN candles. A similar feat with the RED candles would be equally exciting to watch. Somehow the news about the stress tests, redemption pressure, and freeze of new lumpsum investments into small-cap funds, etc may have a spill over effect on the large caps as well. I am still not sure if the markets have priced in the “panic” factor.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs6927. The recovery from minus 25116 was indeed good to watch.
BankNifty fell 195 points today ~ -0.42%, but that would end up not being sufficient to push it into Bear territory. We might need roughly 400+ points fall to slip into the bearish channel following which both N50 and BN will have the same direction. Over the last 2.5 months rarely did both the indices align in the same direction for at least 3 to 4 days consecutively. NiftyIT always interrupted a smooth directional buildup happening between these two indices and often confused N50 with false triggers.
4mts chart
The lower high formation and the start of the 2nd leg are more beautiful on BN rather than N50. We expect the IV to go up once BN enters the bearish channel.45788 was the approximate level from which BN had 11 consecutive 63mts GREEN candles. A similar feat with the RED candles would be equally exciting to watch. Somehow the news about the stress tests, redemption pressure, and freeze of new lumpsum investments into small-cap funds, etc may have a spill over effect on the large caps as well. I am still not sure if the markets have priced in the “panic” factor.
63mts chart
–
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs6927. The recovery from minus 25116 was indeed good to watch.
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