Bitcoin dumping hard CRYPTO MARKET CRASH - Bitcoin Price Predi

This is one of the worst crashes I have witnessed in the last 8 years. Justin Sun is liquidated, big player wallets in panic. It’s a day for the history books and a historic event. The box that used to be a great indicator the entire year is now invalid. We entered into a recession today and it’s time to act accordingly for each individual it’s a different strategy. I sold several assets few minutes ago (Exclude BTC & Gold) this includes altcoins and stocks including inserted properties for sale to have enough cash to buy at a bigger crash in case things get worse and we see a war. We entered into a recession today which is clear to everyone, but the reality is we are in a recession since 3-4 months and there are many indicators supporting this claim including the legendary Sahm Rule indicator that turned positive with 100% accuracy in the last 50 years.

- Warren Buffet sold 50% of his Apple investments

- Japanese Stocks suffer largest decline since Black Monday 1987

- FED in it’s biggest loss of its history (120bn)

- Japan Nikkei Index worst day in it’s history

- Taiwan stock market worst da in its history

- Extreme fear in stock market since 2023

- Markets price in a 60% chance of an emergency Fed rate cut

It looks bad for bulls and people that bought high. The only hope for a positive reversal is that the FED decides to cut rates as soon as possible, but this won’t be enough and will most likely signal much more uncertainty which causes much more sell pressure, I expect an emergency rate cut this, or latest by next week, for this I set the recession case scenario for Bitcoin in the region of 38-40k Cutting rates alone is not enough, the FED needs to cut rates and start printing $$ again, and this needs to be done as soon as possible. This is the only solution to stop this crash in the crypto and stock market. The probability that money printers start this soon is less than we remain in the recession with constant sell pressure.


Worst case scenario: During COVID crisis it took 4-5 weeks till money printers became active, stock market (SP500) dumped 35% back then, this time I expect the SP500 to crash from 260 to towards 200 (- 25%). For Bitcoin I expect targets between 29-31k in the absolute worst case, this includes total recession and war scenario, but again this is the absolute worst case scenario and depends on the FED cutting rates as soon as possible & as high as possible !

Outcome for now: $48,000 region is start of BlackRock entry, the day the ETF got approved. We tested this level and bounced but doesn’t mean it’s over due to the reasons mentioned above. Keep an close eye on 48k region as we need to hold! If losing this region you can expect the two lower scenarios till the worst case scenario. No one can give you the exact outcome right now, but everyone who watches back the chart in a year will wish to have bought in these regions. Although, it’s still early to decide if entering the market now (For those who sitting in cash) or wait 3-4 weeks before entering as things might get worse if a war erupts + uncertainty keeps rising.

Own strategy: As mentioned above I sold several stock & altcoin assets. On top of that I entered into a hedge short at $50,500 region. (Please educate yourself about the meaning of hedge short before blindly entering) To make it short: A hedge short is a way to protect his long term investments by betting to the downside with low amount of leverage instead of selling them. Even if the hedge short ends in a loss, the spot holdings will pay back (As long there is no liquidation). If the spot holdings decrease in value, the hedge short will pay back the decreased value in liquid assets once cashing out. I prefer a hedge level of 1:2 or 1:3 as long your liquid reserves allow. (Low leverage).