The study of the prism of vision 🎓

2 avr. 2022

Here an open mind opinion which will be very usefull if you are a beginner, if you are at research of profitable and regular results, if you research something working for you in this game, and for many others. I will not develop any strategies or analysis here (it would be too long), just show exemple of some with, in the end, some advice that you MUST read to perform in this trading.

First I will explain why it came to my mind to make this post and secondly I will provide a deep speech for everyone of you.

If you follow me, you know I provide notably updates on Bitcoin for the moment, my analysis, some explanations about what happen inside the market and some expectations for the future (and signal / trades when there is). Yesterday when I wrote the LDTP #11 (you can find it related to this idea), I explained many technical things and during I was writing the post, market made exactly what I was explaning for and what I usually develop. It gave this masterpiece from market like I called it in the initial post 👇

Here showing most of the knowledge I use in my strategy, you will find on this chart Volume analysis, Volume Profile analysis, Wyckoff Pattern analysis, Resistance / Support analysis, Candlestick analysis, Supply / Demand analysis but it's not what I want to develop here.
When I cleared my chart, I said to myself : " How beginner cannot be lost when we see this obvious triangle that probably others people develop, exploit, trade for and claimed as THE solution in trading ? Which one say true, is it the Wyckoff pattern with the spring or is it the triangle ? " And so I developped this triangle, and others technics, always taking a blank chart arguying around differents technics. Here the result (I don't present it as working strategies, just as other setup, reading and visions) :

Using Support / Resistances, Chartism analysis, Volumes 👇


Using Supply / Demand, Candlestick analysis 👇


Using Harmonic pattern 👇


Using Fibonacci retracements & extensions 👇


Or just using the Tradingview Bollinger Bands strategy 👇


And so, looking to that, I was asking myself : "How peoples can determined which content could be usefull for them when everybody say differents things, claiming for differents technics / strategies, speaking of a same chart ? Who say the truth ? Is this game a big coin flip party ? ". I believe some beginners have already wondered about it. How don't think that when you start here and you see many traders, revendicating as professionnals, saying the exact opposite of the others for some reasons that all seams technically viable.

🔰So here my answer that you need to read : 🔰
In trading, nobody say true but nobody say wrong also, because there will be always a moment where they will have reason. No strategy say true but no strategy say wrong too, because there will be always a moment where they will have reason. Same as indicators, same as technics, same as ... In the end only market have reason. Don't search to control the market, search to understand it. Don't search to be rich, search to be profitable. Don't search to always have reason / always win trades, but most of the time.

▶️Don't believe others !
Find usefull content, learn from them, learn from you, but learn. You will never win money by following naively what someone say even more if you don't understand what he say and why he say that. Look at all technics, at all approch, at all strategies you can find in trading, search on these, learn on these, until you find one which will fit with you. You will never win money by applying painfully the strategy of another person. Your mind, your personnality have to show through your strategy. Like there is thousand of assets to trade on, there is thousand way to trade them.

▶️Grind the market until you apply your strategy/knowledges unconsciously !
Here how your brain work or how you have to make it work : You are unconsciously incompetent, then you do research to experiment new approch of understanding. You find it so you become consciously incompetent, then you learn about it to become better. You force yourself to apply it so you become consciously competent, then you grind it everyday, everyweek, everymonth as long you need for integrate it. When you are finally able to do it naturally you become inconsciously competent, then you can restart with another unconsciously incompetent aspect of you.

▶️Don't avoid failure, you will fail !
Every trader already failed, at different scales, but this is a fact. This is how work your brain, you learn, then you apply, then you fail, then you learn from it to apply better and to avoid future mistakes. And failure will became less important but you will continue to fail, and you will continue to learn from them. This is how you become profitable. You can block yourself in a state where you don't want to fail, but you will never progress. Failure help to question ourselves, it's an essential step to progress. If you are not able to take a step back from your results, from how you apply your strategy and your knowledges, you will run into a wall, you will loose time and failure will became harder than never.

▶️Become mathematically reliable !
Today you have the opportunity to test strategies for free, abuse of it. Use virtual money accounts and train for days, weeks, months, years until your strategy became mathematically reliable. By using virtual money and not your own, it will able you to fail, as much you need it. But you will also work on your strategy out of any emotions. Because when you trade with real money you are impacted by emotions, and as you are, your strategy will, and is profitability with it. If you don't do that step of learning and applying far from real money you will lose your time to blame your emotions like the reason why you are loosing money but it's just that your strategy isn't' profitable on long term.

▶️Work on yourself !
As you have to work on your knowledges to improve yourself, you will have to work on your personnality to win money in trading. You will experience emotions and you will have to learn to control them. If you cannot you will have to learn to don't trade when you feel emotions. Emotions will make you overtrade, deviate from your strategy and so from your profitability in trading. Emotions will blind yourself from your true value, making you better than you are or worse than you are. Emotions will cause moments of intense joy as well as moments of deep sorrow. Frustration, revenge, confidence, motivation, patience, mistakes, pain, sadness, happyness I could quote decades that you will have to deal with, you will fail because of them, you will tilt, and you will have to learn about it again. Speaking of pacience, this is the major mistake of beginner for me, if you are not able to put your ass in a chair and look at market without taking a single trade during a full day, you don't trade for the good reason : you trade to feel emotions and not to win money. You are not looking the market to find entry, you are waiting the market to give you an entry : weigh the meaning of these words. And if you had doubts about it, you won't be rich tomorrow from trading because you read this words, but it can give you answer to achieve your goals.

▶️Open your mind !
Like I showed there is many technics in trading, explore them ! That don't mean that you have to use them but you have to understand what exist, why some can be usefull in some case and not in other ... Also open your mind to other's plans, admit that you could say wrong and that you could think wrong. Another mistake that some do : don't explore only one way, don't think because this indicator say "..." that market can go only here "...". Take a step back, create scenarios that the market could follow and search in these which one you could exploit. Market cannot surprise you if you do this job, become proactive and stop being reactive. You will see that the emotional charge will be less important. But don't confuse, that don't mean you anticipate the market, you just imagine what he can do. Never anticipate the market, or you will lose money.

⚠️To finish,
I made a statement in one of my past ideas that I want to reiterate : "Whatever your strategy, whatever your indicators, whatever your amount of knowledges, if it is mathematically reliable it doesn't lie but premiums scams lie. Doesn't matter who you want to follow, who you want to support, who you want to believe, always verify that he doesn't provide public payable services where your person serv his own interest. That probably the best advice I can give you. You will need to surround yourself to progress in trading, that a fact, but don't be the food of this guys."

Saying all that, I hope you understand now that trading isn't a question of "this indicator is better than this one", or "this strategy is the best way to ...", no it's just how you use it, how much you trained for, how much you grind to handle it. If you had to remenber only a sentence, use this one :
"Making money in trading is math and respect of strategy, so never let your emotions guide you in uncomfortable positions"

If you arrived to these final words I think it's because you want to improve yourself and I promise you that you will succeed if you put the amount of work necessary. It will not be an easy path but nobody said that it will be simple, except those who earn money from you.

There was so much things to say that I probably forgot sometimes what I wanted to say, and there is always at least as much to say. Maybe one day I will do another chapter but for the moment :
Like, follow or comment* if you like, I need it to continue !
*Speaking of comments, come ask questions, come share your point of view, come debate, I need it to feel that my without counterpart work is usefull for some !