Stock market still in expansion phase

23 oct.

Stepping back to longer timeframes, it's often easier to see the forest from the trees. It's easier to see patterns. For instance, you can see the rising RSI pattern that follows a long time-frame bull run. When the market starts substantial pullbacks, it breaks that trend to the downside and starts a new trend. That switch results in a recession and a longer timeframe cooling of the market. Currently, it seems we have not reached that point. That is not to say we could not quickly fall into that pattern, but understanding where we are at in a cycle is as import as the decisions we make when the market changes.