Days_Off

S&P 500 / ES Futures High Probability Setup

CME_MINI:ES1!   Contrats à terme E-mini S&P 500
Hi All,

The big drop in the S&P 500 dropped through support offering a good plan for both long and short positioning over the next trading week.

Short Scenario:
- Wait for a bounce to test the trendline. Most likely headlines will subside on the viral outbreak and the market will bounce accordingly.
- Enter short position when price drops below the near term low (wait for two full candles below the near-term low on 4 hr chart)
- Target the longer term support line to close position and evaluate the next trade setup
- Impeachment trial and Q4 earnings could be catalysts to take the market lower
- Stop loss at the trendline or the peak of the bounce.

Long Scenario:
- If the bounce takes price back above the support line, potential to go long with the expectation of a test of the most recent highs ~3,330's.
- Wait for two full white candles to close above the trendline on the 4 hr chart before entering a long trade.
- Stop loss at the trendline or at the near term bottom just below the trendline.

Ciao!

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