After a mega run up over the new year, ETH has fallen on some hard times.
Right now, ETH is below the daily 20EMA and 50MA; typically this means a move to the 200MA is the next likely target. There are other bearish patterns in the mix as well including a large bear pennant and small bear flag.
The first target for ETH will be ~$600. We should see a large bounce, like it's prior low at the start of Feb. If this fails to hold a target of around $300 is in play, but lets cross that bridge if we get to it.
Right now, ETH is below the daily 20EMA and 50MA; typically this means a move to the 200MA is the next likely target. There are other bearish patterns in the mix as well including a large bear pennant and small bear flag.
The first target for ETH will be ~$600. We should see a large bounce, like it's prior low at the start of Feb. If this fails to hold a target of around $300 is in play, but lets cross that bridge if we get to it.
Note
We have gone as low as $640, formed a daily hammer but failed to reverse. We are currently trading at $668, but looking at the TD indicator we have at least 2 more days of downside to come. I believe we have almost exhausted the 78.6 support and we will head to the 200MA (~$600) by tomorrow or Monday (EST).As I mentioned in the original post, I believe we should see a bounce at the 200MA, but I'm not confident it will be a reversal.
Trade fermée: cible de profit atteinte
I'm going to close out this idea since it hit the original 200MA target of ~$600.I believe it is going to continue down further because we haven't seen the sizeable bounce we needed, but I will create a new idea to explore it further.
In the meantime, here is the chart as it stands now: a bear pennant with a target of around $480-$520. There's some confluence with the bear flag and pennant which just strengthens the case.
Note
Our bear pennant turned into a bear flag:Watch for a break down below $580 for confirmation and above $630 for invalidation.
We are just holding onto the daily 200MA, and as I've said before, in a down trend, the longer we stay on support, the more likely we are to break it.
I say we are still on track to break this over the next 24hrs
Note
As I said above, a break would happen in 24hrs, and it certainly did:And now we are trading below the 1D 200MA.
I think the likely targets are:
1. $450-$480
2. $300
Obviously it won't go there in a straight line, but over the next few weeks I expect the 2nd target to hit unless something miraculous happens.
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Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.