Technical Analysis On the daily chart, EUR/CAD continues its downward movement after breaking out of a mild descending channel. Sellers have driven the price to the one-week low of 1.47112, reinforcing the current bearish sentiment. If sellers succeed in breaking through this key level, further downside targets are likely, with immediate supports at 1.46626, 1.46372, and ultimately at 1.46007. The presence of divergence between the Bollinger Bands, coupled with momentum oscillators pointing lower, clearly indicates that bearish forces dominate the market for the time being. However, if the price finds support at 1.47112 and bounces higher, resistance levels will come into play at 1.47795, followed by the major ceiling at 1.48900. A sustained break above 1.48900 would shift the broader outlook to bullish, signalling the potential end of the current downtrend.
Key Events to Watch Investors will be closely watching Canadian inflation data related to raw material prices, which is expected to show a decline of 1.5% in October. Should the data surpass expectations, it could strengthen the Canadian dollar further, amplifying the downside pressure on EUR/CAD. Meanwhile, in Europe, speeches from ECB Governing Council members Elderson and Lane are scheduled, which could introduce some volatility for the euro.
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